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Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

Survation/Daily Record, 3rd May 2016

These are our forecasts for constituency MSPs in the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by Survation and published in the Daily Record on 3rd May.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑3.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓10.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑5.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓0.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑2.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↓1.02
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓7.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑7.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑0.8
Green 4.37 %  % ↑2.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑1.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓3.43

Our forecast

Constituencies

Aberdeen Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kevin Stewart 🛋 10,858 ↑800 46.36 % ↑6.37
Labour Lewis Macdonald 6,256 ↓3185 26.71 % ↓10.83
Conservative Tom Mason 4,235 ↑1135 18.08 % ↑5.75
Liberal Democrat Liam Bruce 2,074 ↓275 8.86 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,602 Swing: ↑8.60%

Aberdeen Donside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mark McDonald 📃 15,966 ↑1176 62.89 % ↑7.62
Labour Greg Williams 5,046 ↓2569 19.87 % ↓8.59
Conservative Liam Kerr 2,959 ↑793 11.66 % ↑3.57
Liberal Democrat Isobel Davidson 1,418 ↓188 5.59 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,920 Swing: ↑8.11%

Aberdeen South & North Kincardine 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Maureen Watt 🛋 12,897 ↑950 48.53 % ↑6.83
Conservative Ross Thomson 🎢 5,544 ↑1486 20.86 % ↑6.70
Liberal Democrat John Waddell 4,410 ↓584 16.59 % ↓0.84
Labour Alison Evison 3,727 ↓1897 14.02 % ↓5.61
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,353 Swing: ↑0.06%

Aberdeenshire East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gillian Martin 21,086 ↑1553 65.67 % ↑1.17
Conservative Colin Clark 5,753 ↑1542 17.92 % ↑4.02
Liberal Democrat Christine Jardine 3,742 ↓496 11.66 % ↓2.33
Labour Sarah Flavell 💸 1,527 ↓777 4.75 % ↓2.86
SNP HOLD Majority: 15,333 Swing: ↓1.42%

Aberdeenshire West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Dennis Robertson 🛋 13,155 ↑969 43.74 % ↑1.19
Conservative Alexander Burnett 🎢 8,234 ↑2207 27.38 % ↑6.33
Liberal Democrat Mike Rumbles 🎢 7,129 ↓945 23.71 % ↓4.49
Labour Sarah Duncan 1,556 ↓793 5.18 % ↓3.02
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,921 Swing: ↓2.57%

Airdrie & Shotts 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 12,937 ↑953 59.00 % ↑8.85
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 6,615 ↓3368 30.17 % ↓11.61
Conservative Eric Holford 1,907 ↑511 8.70 % ↑2.86
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 469 ↓62 2.14 % ↓0.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,322 Swing: ↑10.23%

Almond Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 18,032 ↑1328 63.09 % ↑8.75
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 7,396 ↓3766 25.88 % ↓10.43
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,577 ↑691 9.01 % ↑2.87
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 579 ↓77 2.03 % ↓0.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,636 Swing: ↑9.59%

Angus North & Mearns 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mari Evans 14,746 ↑1086 54.47 % ↓0.35
Conservative Alex Johnstone 📃 🎢 8,708 ↑2334 32.17 % ↑6.59
Labour John Ruddy 2,094 ↓1066 7.73 % ↓4.95
Liberal Democrat Euan Davidson 1,524 ↓202 5.63 % ↓1.30
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,038 Swing: ↓3.47%

Angus South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Graeme Dey 🛋 17,450 ↑1286 61.66 % ↑3.19
Conservative Kirstene Hair 7,625 ↑2044 26.94 % ↑6.75
Labour Joanne McFadden 2,454 ↓1249 8.67 % ↓4.73
Liberal Democrat Clive Sneddon 💸 772 ↓102 2.73 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,825 Swing: ↓1.78%

Argyll & Bute 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 14,455 ↑1065 54.35 % ↑3.78
Conservative Donald Cameron 🎢 6,622 ↑1775 24.90 % ↑6.59
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,843 ↓377 10.69 % ↓1.47
Labour Mick Rice 2,678 ↓1363 10.07 % ↓5.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,833 Swing: ↓1.40%

Ayr 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Scott 🛋 17,756 ↑4759 48.82 % ↑9.88
SNP Jennifer Dunn 12,829 ↑945 35.27 % ↓0.34
Labour Brian McGinley 5,155 ↓2624 14.17 % ↓9.14
Liberal Democrat Robbie Simpson 💸 630 ↓83 1.73 % ↓0.41
Conservative HOLD Majority: 4,927 Swing: ↑5.11%

Banffshire & Buchan Coast 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stewart Stevenson 🛋 18,149 ↑1337 67.17 % ↓0.07
Conservative Peter Chapman 6,273 ↑1681 23.22 % ↑4.85
Labour Nathan Morrison 1,751 ↓891 6.48 % ↓4.09
Liberal Democrat David Evans 💸 846 ↓112 3.13 % ↓0.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,876 Swing: ↓2.46%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 14,944 ↑1101 53.01 % ↑4.61
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 5,638 ↓747 20.00 % ↓2.33
Conservative Struan Mackie 4,008 ↑1074 14.22 % ↑3.96
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,603 ↓1835 12.78 % ↓6.23
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,306 Swing: ↑3.47%

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jeane Freeman 14,304 ↑1054 51.81 % ↑5.65
Labour Carol Mochan 7,069 ↓3600 25.61 % ↓11.56
Conservative Lee Lyons 5,683 ↑1523 20.59 % ↑6.10
Liberal Democrat Dawud Islam 💸 551 ↓73 2.00 % ↓0.17
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,235 Swing: ↑8.61%

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 14,307 ↑1054 54.24 % ↑5.90
Labour Craig Miller 6,390 ↓3254 24.22 % ↓10.96
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,783 ↑1282 18.13 % ↑5.36
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 899 ↓119 3.41 % ↓0.30
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,917 Swing: ↑8.43%

Clydebank & Milngavie 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gil Paterson 🛋 13,254 ↑976 50.50 % ↑7.22
Labour Gail Casey 7,663 ↓3901 29.19 % ↓11.57
Conservative Maurice Golden 🎢 3,768 ↑1010 14.36 % ↑4.64
Liberal Democrat Frank Bowles 1,562 ↓207 5.95 % ↓0.29
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,591 Swing: ↑9.39%

Clydesdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Aileen Campbell 🛋 15,774 ↑1162 54.52 % ↑5.71
Labour Claudia Beamish 📃 🎢 6,889 ↓3507 23.81 % ↓10.92
Conservative Alex Allison 5,426 ↑1454 18.75 % ↑5.48
Liberal Democrat Fraser Grieve 💸 845 ↓112 2.92 % ↓0.28
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,885 Swing: ↑8.31%

Coatbridge & Chryston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 9,980 ↑735 48.14 % ↑8.43
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 7,904 ↓4024 38.12 % ↓13.12
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,787 ↑479 8.62 % ↑3.00
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 795 ↑299 3.83 % ↑1.70
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 267 ↓35 1.29 % ↓0.01
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,076 Swing: ↑10.77%

Cowdenbeath 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 11,528 ↑849 50.66 % ↑9.06
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 7,902 ↓4024 34.72 % ↓11.74
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,448 ↑656 10.76 % ↑3.78
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 880 ↓117 3.87 % ↓0.01
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,626 Swing: ↑10.40%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 14,676 ↑1081 63.00 % ↑9.17
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 6,716 ↓3420 28.83 % ↓11.31
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,579 ↑423 6.78 % ↑2.20
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 324 ↓43 1.39 % ↓0.06
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,960 Swing: ↑10.24%

Cunninghame North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kenneth Gibson 🛋 16,775 ↑1236 57.83 % ↑5.22
Labour Johanna Baxter 6,243 ↓3179 21.52 % ↓10.38
Conservative Jamie Greene 🎢 5,508 ↑1476 18.99 % ↑5.34
Liberal Democrat Charity Pierce 💸 479 ↓64 1.65 % ↓0.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,532 Swing: ↑7.80%

Cunninghame South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ruth Maguire 11,867 ↑874 57.51 % ↑7.67
Labour Joe Cullinane 5,728 ↓2917 27.76 % ↓11.44
Conservative William McClure 2,556 ↑685 12.39 % ↑3.91
Liberal Democrat Ruby Kirkwood 💸 483 ↓64 2.34 % ↓0.14
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,139 Swing: ↑9.55%

Dumbarton 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Robertson 11,792 ↑869 46.22 % ↑7.90
Labour Jackie Baillie 🛋 🎢 8,324 ↓4238 32.63 % ↓11.43
Conservative Maurice Corry 🎢 4,638 ↑1243 18.18 % ↑6.27
Liberal Democrat Aileen Morton 💸 758 ↓100 2.97 % ↓0.04
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,468 Swing: ↑9.66%

Dumfriesshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Oliver Mundell 12,935 ↑3467 40.93 % ↑11.25
SNP Joan McAlpine 📃 🎢 9,051 ↑667 28.64 % ↑2.35
Labour Elaine Murray 🛋 8,365 ↓4259 26.47 % ↓13.11
Liberal Democrat Richard Brodie 💸 1,253 ↓166 3.96 % ↓0.49
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,884 Swing: ↑4.45%

Dundee City East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shona Robison 🛋 17,857 ↑1316 68.86 % ↑4.63
Labour Richard McCready 3,884 ↓1978 14.98 % ↓7.78
Conservative Bill Bowman 3,484 ↑934 13.43 % ↑3.53
Liberal Democrat Craig Duncan 💸 706 ↓94 2.72 % ↓0.39
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,973 Swing: ↑6.21%

Dundee City West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Joe Fitzpatrick 🛋 15,209 ↑1120 64.83 % ↑7.23
Labour Jenny Marra 📃 🎢 5,092 ↓2592 21.70 % ↓9.71
Conservative Nicola Ross 2,220 ↑595 9.46 % ↑2.82
Liberal Democrat Daniel Coleman 💸 939 ↓124 4.00 % ↓0.35
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,117 Swing: ↑8.47%

Dunfermline 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 11,886 ↑876 44.43 % ↑6.85
Labour Cara Hilton 6,904 ↓3516 25.81 % ↓9.75
Liberal Democrat James Calder 5,100 ↓676 19.07 % ↓0.64
Conservative James Reekie 2,859 ↑766 10.69 % ↑3.55
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,982 Swing: ↑8.30%

East Kilbride 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 15,501 ↑1142 56.94 % ↑8.93
Labour LizAnne Handibode 8,223 ↓4187 30.20 % ↓11.29
Conservative Graham Simpson 🎢 3,088 ↑828 11.34 % ↑3.78
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 413 ↓55 1.52 % ↓0.04
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,278 Swing: ↑10.11%

East Lothian 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP DJ Johnston-Smith 13,370 ↑985 43.60 % ↑5.11
Labour Iain Gray 🛋 🎢 8,307 ↓4229 27.09 % ↓11.87
Conservative Rachael Hamilton 🎢 7,301 ↑1957 23.81 % ↑7.20
Liberal Democrat Ettie Spencer 1,688 ↓224 5.51 % ↓0.43
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,063 Swing: ↑8.49%

Eastwood 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Jackson Carlaw 📃 14,550 ↑3900 45.36 % ↑12.00
SNP Stewart Maxwell 📃 8,396 ↑619 26.18 % ↑1.82
Labour Ken Macintosh 🛋 🎢 8,390 ↓4272 26.16 % ↓13.50
Liberal Democrat John Duncan 💸 737 ↓98 2.30 % ↓0.32
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 6,154 Swing: ↑5.09%

Edinburgh Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alison Dickie 8,516 ↑627 27.55 % ↑0.36
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,236 ↑2722 23.41 % ↑7.85
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,838 ↑1565 18.88 % ↑4.15
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 4,719 ↓2402 15.26 % ↓9.28
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 4,607 ↓610 14.90 % ↓3.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,280 Swing: ↓3.74%

Edinburgh Eastern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 15,709 ↑1157 55.03 % ↑7.67
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 8,163 ↓4156 28.59 % ↓11.50
Conservative Nick Cook 3,593 ↑963 12.59 % ↑4.03
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 1,083 ↓144 3.80 % ↓0.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,546 Swing: ↑9.59%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 13,238 ↑975 46.84 % ↑7.13
Labour Lesley Hinds 8,520 ↓4338 30.15 % ↓11.48
Conservative Iain McGill 4,000 ↑1072 14.15 % ↑4.67
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,504 ↓332 8.86 % ↓0.32
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,718 Swing: ↑9.30%

Edinburgh Pentlands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 12,895 ↑3456 40.90 % ↑9.49
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 12,087 ↑890 38.33 % ↑1.07
Labour Blair Heary 5,296 ↓2697 16.80 % ↓9.80
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,254 ↓166 3.98 % ↓0.75
Conservative GAIN from SNP Majority: 808 Swing: ↑4.21%

Edinburgh Southern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 10,738 ↑791 32.74 % ↑3.31
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 8,604 ↑2306 26.23 % ↑7.59
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 7,326 ↓971 22.34 % ↓2.21
Labour Daniel Johnston 6,132 ↓3122 18.69 % ↓8.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 2,134 Swing: ↓2.14%

Edinburgh Western 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 12,917 ↑952 39.44 % ↑3.67
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 🎢 8,191 ↓1085 25.01 % ↓2.72
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,895 ↑1848 21.05 % ↑5.96
Labour Cat Headley 4,747 ↓2417 14.49 % ↓6.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,726 Swing: ↑3.19%

Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Lamont 🛋 17,669 ↑4736 54.77 % ↑9.89
SNP Paul Wheelhouse 📃 8,203 ↑604 25.43 % ↓0.94
Liberal Democrat Jim Hume 📃 🎢 4,406 ↓584 13.66 % ↓3.66
Labour Barrie Cunning 1,979 ↓1007 6.13 % ↓4.23
Conservative HOLD Majority: 9,466 Swing: ↑5.42%

Falkirk East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 15,439 ↑1137 58.36 % ↑7.59
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 7,134 ↓3633 26.97 % ↓11.25
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 3,241 ↑869 12.25 % ↑3.83
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 642 ↓85 2.43 % ↓0.15
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,305 Swing: ↑9.42%

Falkirk West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 16,848 ↑1241 62.86 % ↑7.51
Labour Mandy Telford 6,535 ↓3327 24.38 % ↓10.59
Conservative Alison Harris 2,850 ↑764 10.63 % ↑3.23
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 569 ↓75 2.12 % ↓0.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,313 Swing: ↑9.05%

Galloway & West Dumfries 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Finlay Carson 15,125 ↑4054 47.13 % ↑10.22
SNP Aileen McLeod 📃 11,021 ↑812 34.34 % ↑0.31
Labour Fiona O'Donnell 5,270 ↓2684 16.42 % ↓10.10
Liberal Democrat Andrew Metcalf 💸 674 ↓89 2.10 % ↓0.44
Conservative HOLD Majority: 4,104 Swing: ↑4.96%

Glasgow Anniesland 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bill Kidd 🛋 11,150 ↑821 51.57 % ↑8.38
Labour Bill Butler 🎢 6,840 ↓3482 31.64 % ↓11.52
Conservative Adam Tomkins 🎢 2,747 ↑736 12.71 % ↑4.30
Liberal Democrat James Spiers 💸 883 ↓117 4.08 % ↓0.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,310 Swing: ↑9.95%

Glasgow Cathcart 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP James Dornan 🛋 12,866 ↑948 53.64 % ↑8.19
Labour Soryia Siddique 6,842 ↓3484 28.52 % ↓10.86
Conservative Kyle Thornton 3,292 ↑882 13.73 % ↑4.54
Liberal Democrat Margot Clark 💸 987 ↓131 4.12 % ↓0.14
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,024 Swing: ↑9.52%

Glasgow Kelvin 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Sandra White 🛋 9,800 ↑722 38.50 % ↑0.90
Green Patrick Harvie 📃 🎢 7,103 ↑2672 27.91 % ↑9.56
Labour Michael Shanks 5,086 ↓2589 19.98 % ↓11.81
Conservative Sheila Mechan 2,411 ↑646 9.47 % ↑2.16
Liberal Democrat Carole Ford 💸 1,054 ↓140 4.14 % ↓0.81
SNP HOLD Majority: 2,697 Swing: ↓4.33%

Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bob Doris 📃 9,275 ↑683 50.88 % ↑9.03
Labour Patricia Ferguson 🛋 6,549 ↓3335 35.93 % ↓12.21
Conservative John Anderson 1,669 ↑447 9.16 % ↑3.21
Liberal Democrat James Harrison 💸 736 ↓97 4.04 % ↓0.02
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,726 Swing: ↑10.62%

Glasgow Pollok 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Humza Yousaf 📃 11,067 ↑815 54.04 % ↑9.30
Labour Johann Lamont 🛋 🎢 7,206 ↓3669 35.19 % ↓12.27
Conservative Thomas Haddow 1,773 ↑475 8.66 % ↑3.00
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 💸 433 ↓57 2.11 % ↓0.03
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,861 Swing: ↑10.79%

Glasgow Provan 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ivan McKee 8,591 ↑633 51.54 % ↑10.06
Labour Paul Martin 🛋 6,651 ↓3386 39.90 % ↓12.42
Conservative Annie Wells 1,062 ↑285 6.37 % ↑2.32
Liberal Democrat Thomas Coleman 💸 365 ↓48 2.19 % ↑0.04
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,940 Swing: ↑11.24%

Glasgow Shettleston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Mason 🛋 10,933 ↑805 57.03 % ↑9.27
Labour Thomas Rannachan 6,323 ↓3219 32.98 % ↓12.02
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,589 ↑426 8.29 % ↑2.81
Liberal Democrat Giovanni Caccavello 💸 328 ↓43 1.71 % ↓0.04
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,610 Swing: ↑10.64%

Glasgow Southside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 🛋 13,285 ↑979 61.89 % ↑7.46
Labour Fariha Thomas 5,272 ↓2685 24.56 % ↓10.64
Conservative Graham Hutchison 2,368 ↑635 11.03 % ↑3.36
Liberal Democrat Kevin Lewsey 💸 540 ↓72 2.52 % ↓0.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,013 Swing: ↑9.05%

Greenock & Inverclyde 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stuart McMillan 📃 12,820 ↑944 50.31 % ↑8.21
Labour Siobhan McCready 8,208 ↓4179 32.21 % ↓11.70
Conservative Graeme Brooks 2,747 ↑736 10.78 % ↑3.65
Liberal Democrat John Watson 1,708 ↓226 6.70 % ↓0.16
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,612 Swing: ↑9.96%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 13,172 ↑970 55.31 % ↑7.18
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 6,619 ↓3370 27.79 % ↓11.61
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,480 ↑933 14.61 % ↑4.56
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 544 ↓72 2.28 % ↓0.15
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,553 Swing: ↑9.39%

Inverness & Nairn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 18,212 ↑1342 57.92 % ↑6.38
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 5,187 ↑1390 16.50 % ↑4.90
Labour David Stewart 📃 4,721 ↓2404 15.01 % ↓6.76
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 3,323 ↓440 10.57 % ↓0.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,025 Swing: ↑0.74%

Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Willie Coffey 🛋 18,313 ↑1349 59.76 % ↑6.51
Labour Dave Meechan 7,270 ↓3701 23.72 % ↓10.72
Conservative Brian Whittle 4,521 ↑1212 14.75 % ↑4.36
Liberal Democrat Rebecca Plenderleith 💸 542 ↓72 1.77 % ↓0.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,043 Swing: ↑8.62%

Kirkcaldy 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 13,579 ↑1000 53.76 % ↑8.52
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 8,214 ↓4183 32.52 % ↓12.07
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,742 ↑735 10.86 % ↑3.64
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 724 ↓96 2.87 % ↓0.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,365 Swing: ↑10.29%

Linlithgow 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 18,381 ↑1354 58.42 % ↑8.61
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 8,572 ↓4364 27.24 % ↓10.60
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,615 ↑969 11.49 % ↑3.75
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 896 ↓119 2.85 % ↓0.12
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,809 Swing: ↑9.61%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 14,855 ↑1094 61.78 % ↑9.48
Labour Kay Morrison 6,343 ↓3230 26.38 % ↓10.00
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,290 ↑614 9.52 % ↑3.15
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 556 ↓74 2.31 % ↓0.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,512 Swing: ↑9.74%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 15,199 ↑1120 56.04 % ↑8.82
Labour Bernard Harkins 7,344 ↓3739 27.08 % ↓10.09
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,471 ↑930 12.80 % ↑4.28
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 1,107 ↓147 4.08 % ↓0.13
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,855 Swing: ↑9.46%

Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christine Grahame 🛋 14,957 ↑1102 47.52 % ↑4.01
Liberal Democrat Kris Chapman 7,886 ↓1045 25.05 % ↓3.00
Conservative Michelle Ballantyne 5,114 ↑1371 16.25 % ↑4.49
Labour Fiona Dugdale 3,520 ↓1792 11.18 % ↓5.50
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,071 Swing: ↑3.50%

Moray 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 18,154 ↑1337 61.08 % ↑2.27
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 8,024 ↑2151 27.00 % ↑6.46
Labour Sean Morton 2,372 ↓1208 7.98 % ↓4.54
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 1,172 ↓155 3.94 % ↓0.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,130 Swing: ↓2.09%

Motherwell & Wishaw 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 10,931 ↑805 52.68 % ↑11.27
Labour John Pentland 🛋 7,099 ↓3614 34.21 % ↓9.60
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,395 ↑642 11.54 % ↑4.37
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 324 ↓43 1.56 % ↑0.06
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,832 Swing: ↑10.43%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 9,172 ↑676 72.73 % ↑7.43
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,468 ↓1256 19.57 % ↓9.05
Conservative Ranald Fraser 769 ↑206 6.10 % ↑1.77
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 201 ↓27 1.60 % ↓0.15
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,704 Swing: ↑8.24%

North East Fife 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 11,906 ↑877 40.46 % ↑3.30
Conservative Huw Bell 7,675 ↑2057 26.08 % ↑7.15
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 🎢 7,450 ↓987 25.32 % ↓3.11
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,394 ↓1219 8.14 % ↓4.03
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,231 Swing: ↓1.93%

Orkney Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 2,571 ↓341 42.73 % ↑7.01
SNP Donna Heddle 2,207 ↑163 36.67 % ↑11.60
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 937 ↑251 15.57 % ↑7.15
Labour Gerry McGarvey 303 ↓155 5.04 % ↓0.58
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 364 Swing: ↓2.29%

Paisley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP George Adam 🛋 11,781 ↑868 50.20 % ↑7.55
Labour Neil Bibby 📃 🎢 7,067 ↓3598 30.11 % ↓11.57
Conservative Paul Masterton 3,045 ↑816 12.98 % ↑4.27
Liberal Democrat Eileen McCartin 1,574 ↓209 6.71 % ↓0.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,714 Swing: ↑9.56%

Perthshire North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 19,668 ↑1449 59.17 % ↓1.66
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 10,746 ↑2880 32.33 % ↑6.07
Labour Anna McEwan 1,771 ↓901 5.33 % ↓3.59
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 1,056 ↓140 3.18 % ↓0.81
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,922 Swing: ↓3.87%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 17,351 ↑1278 50.81 % ↓0.68
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 12,168 ↑3261 35.63 % ↑7.10
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,637 ↓1343 7.72 % ↓5.03
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 1,992 ↓264 5.83 % ↓1.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,183 Swing: ↓3.89%

Renfrewshire North & West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Derek Mackay 12,425 ↑915 46.02 % ↑4.16
Conservative David Wilson 7,499 ↑2010 27.77 % ↑7.81
Labour Mary Fee 📃 🎢 6,590 ↓3356 24.41 % ↓11.76
Liberal Democrat Rod Ackland 💸 486 ↓64 1.80 % ↓0.20
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,926 Swing: ↓1.83%

Renfrewshire South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Tom Arthur 11,180 ↑824 45.90 % ↑7.41
Labour Paul O'Kane 8,570 ↓4363 35.19 % ↓12.87
Conservative Ann Leblond 3,985 ↑1068 16.36 % ↑5.52
Liberal Democrat Tristan Gray 💸 620 ↓82 2.55 % ↓0.06
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,610 Swing: ↑10.14%

Rutherglen 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Haughey 11,562 ↑852 48.71 % ↑9.19
Labour James Kelly 🛋 🎢 8,275 ↓4214 34.86 % ↓11.22
Conservative Taylor Muir 2,863 ↑767 12.06 % ↑4.33
Liberal Democrat Robert Brown 💸 1,037 ↓137 4.37 % ↑0.04
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,287 Swing: ↑10.21%

Shetland Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 3,940 ↓522 65.38 % ↑17.87
SNP Danus Skene 1,224 ↑90 20.32 % ↑8.24
Conservative Cameron Smith 451 ↑121 7.48 % ↑3.97
Labour Robina Barton 411 ↓209 6.82 % ↑0.22
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 2,716 Swing: ↑4.82%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 15,909 ↑1172 51.14 % ↑4.96
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 8,602 ↓1140 27.65 % ↓2.87
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,872 ↑1038 12.45 % ↑3.57
Labour Linda Stewart 2,725 ↓1387 8.76 % ↓4.12
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,307 Swing: ↑3.92%

Stirling 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 16,040 ↑1182 54.24 % ↑5.37
Conservative Dean Lockhart 🎢 6,298 ↑1688 21.30 % ↑6.14
Labour Rebecca Bell 6,088 ↓3100 20.59 % ↓9.63
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 1,144 ↓152 3.87 % ↓0.39
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,742 Swing: ↓0.38%

Strathkelvin & Bearsden 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rona Mackay 15,392 ↑1134 48.09 % ↑5.85
Labour Margaret McCarthy 8,254 ↓4202 25.79 % ↓11.11
Conservative Andrew Polson 6,063 ↑1625 18.94 % ↑5.79
Liberal Democrat Katy Gordon 2,296 ↓304 7.17 % ↓0.53
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,138 Swing: ↑8.48%

Uddingston & Bellshill 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 11,677 ↑860 51.49 % ↑8.21
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 7,641 ↓3890 33.69 % ↓12.44
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,892 ↑775 12.75 % ↑4.28
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 468 ↓62 2.06 % ↓0.06
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,036 Swing: ↑10.32%