Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

These are our MSP forecasts for the 2016 Holyrood election, based on your predicted vote shares.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Your prediction

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  %
Labour 31.69 %  %
Conservative 13.91 %  %
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  %
Others 1.08 %  %

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  %
Labour 26.30 %  %
Conservative 12.35 %  %
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  %
Green 4.37 %  %
UKIP 0.91 %  %
RISE 0.42 %  %
Others 6.43 %  %

Our forecast

Seats Total Constituencies Regional seats
2011 Forecast Change 2011 Forecast Change 2011 Forecast Change
SNP 69 69 53 53 16 16
Labour 37 37 15 15 22 22
Conservative 15 15 3 3 12 12
Lib Dem 5 6 ↑1 2 2 3 4 ↑1
Green 2 2 2 2
Independent 1 ↓1 1 ↓1
Regions Constituencies
Central C                  
R              
Glasgow C                  
R              
Highlands and Islands C                
R              
Lothian C                  
R              
Mid Scotland and Fife C                  
R              
North East C                    
R              
South C                  
R              
West C                    
R              

Most marginal constituencies

Constituency Winner Margin Outcome
Glasgow Anniesland SNP 8 HOLD over Labour
East Lothian Labour 150 HOLD over SNP
Kirkcaldy SNP 183 HOLD over Labour
Paisley SNP 249 HOLD over Labour
Greenock & Inverclyde Labour 510 HOLD over SNP
Motherwell & Wishaw Labour 586 HOLD over SNP
Glasgow Shettleston SNP 587 HOLD over Labour
Dunfermline SNP 591 HOLD over Labour
Edinburgh Northern & Leith Labour 594 HOLD over SNP
Aberdeen Central SNP 618 HOLD over Labour

Narrowest regional wins

Region 7th place Next party Allocation shortfall Equivalent votes
Mid Scotland and Fife SNP Labour 39 198
Glasgow Labour SNP 45 366
Highlands and Islands SNP Green 370 371
North East SNP Conservative 239 718
South SNP Labour 164 816
West Labour SNP 186 1,677
Central SNP Labour 248 1,734
Lothian Lib Dem Labour 1,486 7,429