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Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

Panelbase/Sunday Times, 1st May 2016

These are our forecasts for constituency MSPs in the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by Panelbase and published in the Sunday Times on 1st May.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑3.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓8.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑3.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↓0.02
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓4.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑6.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↓1.2
Green 4.37 %  % ↑2.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓5.43

Our forecast

Constituencies

Aberdeen Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kevin Stewart 🛋 10,858 ↑800 46.65 % ↑6.66
Labour Lewis Macdonald 6,852 ↓2589 29.43 % ↓8.11
Conservative Tom Mason 3,789 ↑689 16.28 % ↑3.95
Liberal Democrat Liam Bruce 1,778 ↓571 7.64 % ↓1.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,006 Swing: ↑7.38%

Aberdeen Donside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mark McDonald 📃 15,966 ↑1176 62.97 % ↑7.70
Labour Greg Williams 5,526 ↓2089 21.80 % ↓6.66
Conservative Liam Kerr 2,648 ↑482 10.44 % ↑2.35
Liberal Democrat Isobel Davidson 💸 1,216 ↓390 4.79 % ↓1.21
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,440 Swing: ↑7.18%

Aberdeen South & North Kincardine 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Maureen Watt 🛋 12,897 ↑950 50.15 % ↑8.45
Conservative Ross Thomson 🎢 4,960 ↑902 19.29 % ↑5.13
Labour Alison Evison 4,081 ↓1543 15.87 % ↓3.76
Liberal Democrat John Waddell 3,780 ↓1214 14.70 % ↓2.73
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,937 Swing: ↑1.66%

Aberdeenshire East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gillian Martin 21,086 ↑1553 67.77 % ↑3.27
Conservative Colin Clark 5,147 ↑936 16.54 % ↑2.64
Liberal Democrat Christine Jardine 3,208 ↓1030 10.31 % ↓3.68
Labour Sarah Flavell 1,672 ↓632 5.37 % ↓2.24
SNP HOLD Majority: 15,939 Swing: ↑0.31%

Aberdeenshire West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Dennis Robertson 🛋 13,155 ↑969 46.42 % ↑3.87
Conservative Alexander Burnett 🎢 7,367 ↑1340 26.00 % ↑4.95
Liberal Democrat Mike Rumbles 6,111 ↓1963 21.56 % ↓6.64
Labour Sarah Duncan 1,705 ↓644 6.02 % ↓2.18
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,788 Swing: ↓0.54%

Airdrie & Shotts 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 12,937 ↑953 58.04 % ↑7.89
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 7,245 ↓2738 32.50 % ↓9.28
Conservative Eric Holford 1,706 ↑310 7.66 % ↑1.82
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 402 ↓129 1.80 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,692 Swing: ↑8.58%

Almond Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 18,032 ↑1328 62.32 % ↑7.98
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 8,101 ↓3061 28.00 % ↓8.31
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,305 ↑419 7.97 % ↑1.83
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 497 ↓159 1.72 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,931 Swing: ↑8.14%

Angus North & Mearns 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mari Evans 14,746 ↑1086 56.42 % ↑1.60
Conservative Alex Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,791 ↑1417 29.81 % ↑4.23
Labour John Ruddy 2,293 ↓867 8.77 % ↓3.91
Liberal Democrat Euan Davidson 💸 1,306 ↓420 5.00 % ↓1.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,955 Swing: ↓1.32%

Angus South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Graeme Dey 🛋 17,450 ↑1286 63.17 % ↑4.70
Conservative Kirstene Hair 6,822 ↑1241 24.70 % ↑4.51
Labour Joanne McFadden 2,687 ↓1016 9.73 % ↓3.67
Liberal Democrat Clive Sneddon 💸 662 ↓212 2.39 % ↓0.77
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,628 Swing: ↑0.10%

Argyll & Bute 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 14,455 ↑1065 56.14 % ↑5.57
Conservative Donald Cameron 🎢 5,925 ↑1078 23.01 % ↑4.70
Labour Mick Rice 2,933 ↓1108 11.39 % ↓3.87
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,437 ↓783 9.46 % ↓2.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,530 Swing: ↑0.44%

Ayr 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Scott 🛋 15,887 ↑2890 45.52 % ↑6.58
SNP Jennifer Dunn 12,829 ↑945 36.76 % ↑1.15
Labour Brian McGinley 5,645 ↓2134 16.18 % ↓7.13
Liberal Democrat Robbie Simpson 💸 540 ↓173 1.55 % ↓0.59
Conservative HOLD Majority: 3,058 Swing: ↑2.71%

Banffshire & Buchan Coast 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stewart Stevenson 🛋 18,149 ↑1337 68.74 % ↑1.50
Conservative Peter Chapman 🎢 5,613 ↑1021 21.26 % ↑2.89
Labour Nathan Morrison 1,917 ↓725 7.26 % ↓3.31
Liberal Democrat David Evans 💸 725 ↓233 2.75 % ↓1.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,536 Swing: ↓0.70%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 14,944 ↑1101 54.72 % ↑6.32
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 4,833 ↓1552 17.70 % ↓4.63
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,946 ↓1492 14.45 % ↓4.56
Conservative Struan Mackie 3,586 ↑652 13.13 % ↑2.87
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,111 Swing: ↑5.47%

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jeane Freeman 14,304 ↑1054 51.82 % ↑5.66
Labour Carol Mochan 🎢 7,743 ↓2926 28.05 % ↓9.12
Conservative Lee Lyons 5,085 ↑925 18.42 % ↑3.93
Liberal Democrat Dawud Islam 💸 472 ↓152 1.71 % ↓0.46
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,561 Swing: ↑7.39%

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 14,307 ↑1054 54.29 % ↑5.95
Labour Craig Miller 6,999 ↓2645 26.56 % ↓8.62
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,279 ↑778 16.24 % ↑3.47
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 770 ↓248 2.92 % ↓0.79
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,308 Swing: ↑7.29%

Clydebank & Milngavie 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gil Paterson 🛋 13,254 ↑976 50.29 % ↑7.01
Labour Gail Casey 8,392 ↓3172 31.84 % ↓8.92
Conservative Maurice Golden 🎢 3,371 ↑613 12.79 % ↑3.07
Liberal Democrat Frank Bowles 1,339 ↓430 5.08 % ↓1.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,862 Swing: ↑7.96%

Clydesdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Aileen Campbell 🛋 15,774 ↑1162 54.59 % ↑5.78
Labour Claudia Beamish 📃 🎢 7,545 ↓2851 26.11 % ↓8.62
Conservative Alex Allison 4,855 ↑883 16.80 % ↑3.53
Liberal Democrat Fraser Grieve 💸 724 ↓233 2.51 % ↓0.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,229 Swing: ↑7.20%

Coatbridge & Chryston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 9,980 ↑735 46.95 % ↑7.24
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 8,656 ↓3272 40.72 % ↓10.52
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,599 ↑291 7.52 % ↑1.90
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 795 ↑299 3.74 % ↑1.61
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 229 ↓73 1.08 % ↓0.22
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,324 Swing: ↑8.88%

Cowdenbeath 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 11,528 ↑849 49.85 % ↑8.25
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 8,655 ↓3271 37.42 % ↓9.04
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,190 ↑398 9.47 % ↑2.49
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 755 ↓242 3.26 % ↓0.62
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,873 Swing: ↑8.64%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 14,676 ↑1081 61.86 % ↑8.03
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 7,356 ↓2780 31.01 % ↓9.13
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,413 ↑257 5.96 % ↑1.38
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 278 ↓89 1.17 % ↓0.28
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,320 Swing: ↑8.58%

Cunninghame North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kenneth Gibson 🛋 16,775 ↑1236 57.94 % ↑5.33
Labour Johanna Baxter 🎢 6,838 ↓2584 23.62 % ↓8.28
Conservative Jamie Greene 🎢 4,929 ↑897 17.02 % ↑3.37
Liberal Democrat Charity Pierce 💸 411 ↓132 1.42 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,937 Swing: ↑6.80%

Cunninghame South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ruth Maguire 11,867 ↑874 56.94 % ↑7.10
Labour Joe Cullinane 6,274 ↓2371 30.10 % ↓9.10
Conservative William McClure 2,287 ↑416 10.97 % ↑2.49
Liberal Democrat Ruby Kirkwood 💸 414 ↓133 1.99 % ↓0.49
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,593 Swing: ↑8.10%

Dumbarton 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Robertson 11,792 ↑869 45.87 % ↑7.55
Labour Jackie Baillie 🛋 🎢 9,117 ↓3445 35.46 % ↓8.60
Conservative Maurice Corry 4,150 ↑755 16.14 % ↑4.23
Liberal Democrat Aileen Morton 💸 649 ↓209 2.53 % ↓0.48
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,675 Swing: ↑8.07%

Dumfriesshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Oliver Mundell 11,573 ↑2105 37.50 % ↑7.82
Labour Elaine Murray 🛋 9,162 ↓3462 29.69 % ↓9.89
SNP Joan McAlpine 📃 🎢 9,051 ↑667 29.33 % ↑3.04
Liberal Democrat Richard Brodie 💸 1,074 ↓345 3.48 % ↓0.97
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,411 Swing: ↑8.86%

Dundee City East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shona Robison 🛋 17,857 ↑1316 69.12 % ↑4.89
Labour Richard McCready 4,254 ↓1608 16.47 % ↓6.29
Conservative Bill Bowman 3,117 ↑567 12.07 % ↑2.17
Liberal Democrat Craig Duncan 💸 605 ↓195 2.34 % ↓0.77
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,603 Swing: ↑5.59%

Dundee City West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Joe Fitzpatrick 🛋 15,209 ↑1120 64.51 % ↑6.91
Labour Jenny Marra 📃 🎢 5,576 ↓2108 23.65 % ↓7.76
Conservative Nicola Ross 1,986 ↑361 8.43 % ↑1.79
Liberal Democrat Daniel Coleman 💸 805 ↓258 3.41 % ↓0.94
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,633 Swing: ↑7.33%

Dunfermline 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 11,886 ↑876 45.06 % ↑7.48
Labour Cara Hilton 7,562 ↓2858 28.67 % ↓6.89
Liberal Democrat James Calder 4,372 ↓1404 16.57 % ↓3.14
Conservative James Reekie 2,558 ↑465 9.70 % ↑2.56
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,324 Swing: ↑7.19%

East Kilbride 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 15,501 ↑1142 56.11 % ↑8.10
Labour LizAnne Handibode 9,006 ↓3404 32.60 % ↓8.89
Conservative Graham Simpson 2,763 ↑503 10.00 % ↑2.44
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 354 ↓114 1.28 % ↓0.28
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,495 Swing: ↑8.50%

East Lothian 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP DJ Johnston-Smith 13,370 ↑985 43.91 % ↑5.42
Labour Iain Gray 🛋 🎢 9,098 ↓3438 29.88 % ↓9.08
Conservative Rachael Hamilton 🎢 6,532 ↑1188 21.45 % ↑4.84
Liberal Democrat Ettie Spencer 💸 1,447 ↓465 4.75 % ↓1.19
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,272 Swing: ↑7.25%

Eastwood 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Jackson Carlaw 📃 13,018 ↑2368 41.68 % ↑8.32
Labour Ken Macintosh 🛋 🎢 9,189 ↓3473 29.42 % ↓10.24
SNP Stewart Maxwell 📃 8,396 ↑619 26.88 % ↑2.52
Liberal Democrat John Duncan 💸 632 ↓203 2.02 % ↓0.60
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,829 Swing: ↑9.28%

Edinburgh Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alison Dickie 8,516 ↑627 28.30 % ↑1.11
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,236 ↑2722 24.05 % ↑8.49
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,223 ↑950 17.36 % ↑2.63
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 🎢 5,168 ↓1953 17.17 % ↓7.37
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 3,949 ↓1268 13.12 % ↓4.86
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,280 Swing: ↓3.69%

Edinburgh Eastern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 15,709 ↑1157 54.56 % ↑7.20
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 8,940 ↓3379 31.05 % ↓9.04
Conservative Nick Cook 3,215 ↑585 11.17 % ↑2.61
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 929 ↓298 3.23 % ↓0.76
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,769 Swing: ↑8.12%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 13,238 ↑975 46.79 % ↑7.08
Labour Lesley Hinds 9,331 ↓3527 32.98 % ↓8.65
Conservative Iain McGill 3,579 ↑651 12.65 % ↑3.17
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,146 ↓690 7.59 % ↓1.59
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,907 Swing: ↑7.87%

Edinburgh Pentlands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 12,087 ↑890 39.63 % ↑2.37
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 11,538 ↑2099 37.83 % ↑6.42
Labour Blair Heary 5,801 ↓2192 19.02 % ↓7.58
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,075 ↓345 3.52 % ↓1.21
SNP HOLD Majority: 549 Swing: ↓2.02%

Edinburgh Southern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 10,738 ↑791 34.16 % ↑4.73
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 7,698 ↑1400 24.49 % ↑5.85
Labour Daniel Johnston 6,716 ↓2538 21.37 % ↓6.01
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 6,280 ↓2017 19.98 % ↓4.57
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,040 Swing: ↓0.56%

Edinburgh Western 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 12,917 ↑952 41.26 % ↑5.49
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 7,021 ↓2255 22.43 % ↓5.30
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,169 ↑1122 19.71 % ↑4.62
Labour Cat Headley 5,199 ↓1965 16.61 % ↓4.81
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,896 Swing: ↑5.39%

Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Lamont 🛋 15,809 ↑2876 52.77 % ↑7.89
SNP Paul Wheelhouse 📃 8,203 ↑604 27.38 % ↑1.01
Liberal Democrat Jim Hume 📃 3,777 ↓1213 12.61 % ↓4.71
Labour Barrie Cunning 2,167 ↓819 7.23 % ↓3.13
Conservative HOLD Majority: 7,606 Swing: ↑3.44%

Falkirk East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 15,439 ↑1137 57.82 % ↑7.05
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 7,814 ↓2953 29.26 % ↓8.96
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 2,899 ↑527 10.86 % ↑2.44
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 550 ↓177 2.06 % ↓0.52
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,625 Swing: ↑8.01%

Falkirk West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 16,848 ↑1241 62.30 % ↑6.95
Labour Mandy Telford 7,157 ↓2705 26.47 % ↓8.50
Conservative Alison Harris 2,550 ↑464 9.43 % ↑2.03
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 487 ↓157 1.80 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,691 Swing: ↑7.72%

Galloway & West Dumfries 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Finlay Carson 13,533 ↑2462 43.79 % ↑6.88
SNP Aileen McLeod 📃 11,021 ↑812 35.66 % ↑1.63
Labour Fiona O'Donnell 5,772 ↓2182 18.68 % ↓7.84
Liberal Democrat Andrew Metcalf 💸 577 ↓186 1.87 % ↓0.67
Conservative HOLD Majority: 2,512 Swing: ↑2.62%

Glasgow Anniesland 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bill Kidd 🛋 11,150 ↑821 51.02 % ↑7.83
Labour Bill Butler 🎢 7,491 ↓2831 34.27 % ↓8.89
Conservative Adam Tomkins 🎢 2,458 ↑447 11.25 % ↑2.84
Liberal Democrat James Spiers 💸 757 ↓243 3.46 % ↓0.72
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,659 Swing: ↑8.36%

Glasgow Cathcart 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP James Dornan 🛋 12,866 ↑948 53.27 % ↑7.82
Labour Soryia Siddique 7,494 ↓2832 31.03 % ↓8.35
Conservative Kyle Thornton 2,946 ↑536 12.20 % ↑3.01
Liberal Democrat Margot Clark 💸 846 ↓272 3.50 % ↓0.76
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,372 Swing: ↑8.09%

Glasgow Kelvin 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Sandra White 🛋 9,800 ↑722 38.38 % ↑0.78
Green Patrick Harvie 📃 🎢 7,103 ↑2672 27.82 % ↑9.47
Labour Michael Shanks 5,570 ↓2105 21.81 % ↓9.98
Conservative Sheila Mechan 2,157 ↑392 8.45 % ↑1.14
Liberal Democrat Carole Ford 💸 904 ↓290 3.54 % ↓1.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 2,697 Swing: ↓4.35%

Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bob Doris 📃 9,275 ↑683 49.94 % ↑8.09
Labour Patricia Ferguson 🛋 7,173 ↓2711 38.62 % ↓9.52
Conservative John Anderson 1,494 ↑272 8.04 % ↑2.09
Liberal Democrat James Harrison 💸 630 ↓203 3.39 % ↓0.67
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,102 Swing: ↑8.80%

Glasgow Pollok 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Humza Yousaf 📃 11,067 ↑815 52.91 % ↑8.17
Labour Johann Lamont 🛋 🎢 7,892 ↓2983 37.73 % ↓9.73
Conservative Thomas Haddow 1,587 ↑289 7.59 % ↑1.93
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 💸 371 ↓119 1.77 % ↓0.37
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,175 Swing: ↑8.95%

Glasgow Provan 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ivan McKee 8,591 ↑633 50.13 % ↑8.65
Labour Paul Martin 🛋 7,284 ↓2753 42.50 % ↓9.82
Conservative Annie Wells 950 ↑173 5.54 % ↑1.49
Liberal Democrat Thomas Coleman 💸 313 ↓100 1.82 % ↓0.33
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,307 Swing: ↑9.23%

Glasgow Shettleston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Mason 🛋 10,933 ↑805 55.89 % ↑8.13
Labour Thomas Rannachan 6,925 ↓2617 35.40 % ↓9.60
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,422 ↑259 7.27 % ↑1.79
Liberal Democrat Giovanni Caccavello 💸 281 ↓90 1.44 % ↓0.31
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,008 Swing: ↑8.87%

Glasgow Southside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 🛋 13,285 ↑979 61.39 % ↑6.96
Labour Fariha Thomas 5,775 ↓2182 26.68 % ↓8.52
Conservative Graham Hutchison 2,118 ↑385 9.79 % ↑2.12
Liberal Democrat Kevin Lewsey 💸 463 ↓149 2.14 % ↓0.57
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,510 Swing: ↑7.74%

Greenock & Inverclyde 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stuart McMillan 📃 12,820 ↑944 49.82 % ↑7.72
Labour Siobhan McCready 8,990 ↓3397 34.94 % ↓8.97
Conservative Graeme Brooks 2,458 ↑447 9.55 % ↑2.42
Liberal Democrat John Watson 1,464 ↓470 5.69 % ↓1.17
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,830 Swing: ↑8.35%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 13,172 ↑970 54.89 % ↑6.76
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 🎢 7,249 ↓2740 30.21 % ↓9.19
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,113 ↑566 12.97 % ↑2.92
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 466 ↓150 1.94 % ↓0.49
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,923 Swing: ↑7.97%

Inverness & Nairn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 18,212 ↑1342 58.99 % ↑7.45
Labour David Stewart 📃 🎢 5,171 ↓1954 16.75 % ↓5.02
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 4,641 ↑844 15.03 % ↑3.43
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 2,848 ↓915 9.23 % ↓2.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,041 Swing: ↑6.23%

Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Willie Coffey 🛋 18,313 ↑1349 59.49 % ↑6.24
Labour Dave Meechan 7,962 ↓3009 25.86 % ↓8.58
Conservative Brian Whittle 4,045 ↑736 13.14 % ↑2.75
Liberal Democrat Rebecca Plenderleith 💸 465 ↓149 1.51 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,351 Swing: ↑7.41%

Kirkcaldy 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 13,579 ↑1000 52.94 % ↑7.70
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 8,997 ↓3400 35.08 % ↓9.51
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,453 ↑446 9.56 % ↑2.34
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 621 ↓199 2.42 % ↓0.53
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,582 Swing: ↑8.61%

Linlithgow 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 18,381 ↑1354 57.86 % ↑8.05
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 9,388 ↓3548 29.55 % ↓8.29
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,234 ↑588 10.18 % ↑2.44
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 768 ↓247 2.42 % ↓0.55
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,993 Swing: ↑8.17%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 14,855 ↑1094 61.06 % ↑8.76
Labour Kay Morrison 6,947 ↓2626 28.56 % ↓7.82
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,049 ↑373 8.42 % ↑2.05
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 477 ↓153 1.96 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,908 Swing: ↑8.29%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 15,199 ↑1120 55.68 % ↑8.46
Labour Bernard Harkins 8,043 ↓3040 29.47 % ↓7.70
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,106 ↑565 11.38 % ↑2.86
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 949 ↓305 3.48 % ↓0.73
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,156 Swing: ↑8.08%

Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christine Grahame 🛋 14,957 ↑1102 49.61 % ↑6.10
Liberal Democrat Kris Chapman 6,760 ↓2171 22.42 % ↓5.63
Conservative Michelle Ballantyne 4,575 ↑832 15.18 % ↑3.42
Labour Fiona Dugdale 3,855 ↓1457 12.79 % ↓3.89
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,197 Swing: ↑5.87%

Moray 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 18,154 ↑1337 62.74 % ↑3.93
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 7,179 ↑1306 24.81 % ↑4.27
Labour Sean Morton 2,598 ↓982 8.98 % ↓3.54
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 1,004 ↓323 3.47 % ↓1.17
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,975 Swing: ↓0.17%

Motherwell & Wishaw 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 10,931 ↑805 51.74 % ↑10.33
Labour John Pentland 🛋 7,775 ↓2938 36.80 % ↓7.01
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,143 ↑390 10.14 % ↑2.97
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 278 ↓89 1.31 % ↓0.19
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,156 Swing: ↑8.67%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 9,172 ↑676 72.01 % ↑6.71
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,703 ↓1021 21.22 % ↓7.40
Conservative Ranald Fraser 688 ↑125 5.40 % ↑1.07
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 173 ↓55 1.35 % ↓0.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,469 Swing: ↑7.05%

North East Fife 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 11,906 ↑877 42.86 % ↑5.70
Conservative Huw Bell 6,867 ↑1249 24.72 % ↑5.79
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 6,386 ↓2051 22.99 % ↓5.44
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,622 ↓991 9.44 % ↓2.73
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,039 Swing: ↓0.04%

Orkney Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Donna Heddle 2,207 ↑163 39.53 % ↑14.46
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 2,204 ↓708 39.48 % ↑3.76
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 839 ↑153 15.02 % ↑6.60
Labour Gerry McGarvey 332 ↓126 5.95 % ↑0.33
SNP GAIN from Liberal Democrat Majority: 3 Swing: ↑5.35%

Paisley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP George Adam 🛋 11,781 ↑868 49.93 % ↑7.28
Labour Neil Bibby 📃 🎢 7,740 ↓2925 32.80 % ↓8.88
Conservative Paul Masterton 2,725 ↑496 11.55 % ↑2.84
Liberal Democrat Eileen McCartin 1,349 ↓434 5.72 % ↓1.25
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,041 Swing: ↑8.08%

Perthshire North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 19,668 ↑1449 61.22 % ↑0.39
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 9,615 ↑1749 29.93 % ↑3.67
Labour Anna McEwan 1,939 ↓733 6.04 % ↓2.88
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 905 ↓291 2.82 % ↓1.17
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,053 Swing: ↓1.64%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 17,351 ↑1278 52.85 % ↑1.36
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 10,888 ↑1981 33.16 % ↑4.63
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,888 ↓1092 8.80 % ↓3.95
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 1,707 ↓549 5.20 % ↓2.03
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,463 Swing: ↓1.64%

Renfrewshire North & West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Derek Mackay 12,425 ↑915 46.42 % ↑4.56
Labour Mary Fee 📃 🎢 7,218 ↓2728 26.96 % ↓9.21
Conservative David Wilson 6,710 ↑1221 25.06 % ↑5.10
Liberal Democrat Rod Ackland 💸 416 ↓134 1.56 % ↓0.44
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,207 Swing: ↑6.89%

Renfrewshire South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Tom Arthur 11,180 ↑824 45.33 % ↑6.84
Labour Paul O'Kane 9,386 ↓3547 38.06 % ↓10.00
Conservative Ann Leblond 3,566 ↑649 14.46 % ↑3.62
Liberal Democrat Tristan Gray 💸 531 ↓171 2.15 % ↓0.46
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,794 Swing: ↑8.42%

Rutherglen 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Haughey 11,562 ↑852 48.02 % ↑8.50
Labour James Kelly 🛋 🎢 9,064 ↓3425 37.64 % ↓8.44
Conservative Taylor Muir 2,562 ↑466 10.64 % ↑2.91
Liberal Democrat Robert Brown 💸 889 ↓285 3.69 % ↓0.64
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,498 Swing: ↑8.47%

Shetland Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 3,377 ↓1085 61.92 % ↑14.41
SNP Danus Skene 1,224 ↑90 22.45 % ↑10.37
Labour Robina Barton 450 ↓170 8.25 % ↑1.65
Conservative Cameron Smith 403 ↑73 7.40 % ↑3.89
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 2,153 Swing: ↑2.02%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 15,909 ↑1172 53.51 % ↑7.33
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 7,373 ↓2369 24.80 % ↓5.72
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,464 ↑630 11.65 % ↑2.77
Labour Linda Stewart 2,984 ↓1128 10.04 % ↓2.84
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,536 Swing: ↑6.53%

Stirling 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 16,040 ↑1182 54.70 % ↑5.83
Labour Rebecca Bell 6,668 ↓2520 22.74 % ↓7.48
Conservative Dean Lockhart 🎢 5,635 ↑1025 19.22 % ↑4.06
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 981 ↓315 3.35 % ↓0.91
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,372 Swing: ↑6.66%

Strathkelvin & Bearsden 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rona Mackay 15,392 ↑1134 48.36 % ↑6.12
Labour Margaret McCarthy 9,040 ↓3416 28.40 % ↓8.50
Conservative Andrew Polson 5,425 ↑987 17.05 % ↑3.90
Liberal Democrat Katy Gordon 1,968 ↓632 6.18 % ↓1.52
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,352 Swing: ↑7.31%

Uddingston & Bellshill 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 11,677 ↑860 50.70 % ↑7.42
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 8,368 ↓3163 36.33 % ↓9.80
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,588 ↑471 11.23 % ↑2.76
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 401 ↓129 1.74 % ↓0.38
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,309 Swing: ↑8.61%