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Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

What Scotland Thinks, 27th April 2016

These are our forecasts for constituency MSPs in the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll-of-polls produced by What Scotland Thinks on 27th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑6.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓11.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑3.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑0.98
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓8.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑5.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑0.8
Green 4.37 %  % ↑4.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓5.43

Our forecast

Constituencies

Aberdeen Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kevin Stewart 🛋 11,523 ↑1465 49.99 % ↑10.00
Labour Lewis Macdonald 5,958 ↓3483 25.85 % ↓11.69
Conservative Tom Mason 3,789 ↑689 16.44 % ↑4.11
Liberal Democrat Liam Bruce 1,778 ↓571 7.71 % ↓1.63
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,565 Swing: ↑10.84%

Aberdeen Donside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mark McDonald 📃 16,944 ↑2154 66.15 % ↑10.88
Labour Greg Williams 4,806 ↓2809 18.76 % ↓9.70
Conservative Liam Kerr 2,648 ↑482 10.34 % ↑2.25
Liberal Democrat Isobel Davidson 💸 1,216 ↓390 4.75 % ↓1.25
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,138 Swing: ↑10.29%

Aberdeen South & North Kincardine 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Maureen Watt 🛋 13,687 ↑1740 52.69 % ↑10.99
Conservative Ross Thomson 🎢 4,960 ↑902 19.10 % ↑4.94
Liberal Democrat John Waddell 3,780 ↓1214 14.55 % ↓2.88
Labour Alison Evison 3,549 ↓2075 13.66 % ↓5.97
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,727 Swing: ↑3.03%

Aberdeenshire East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gillian Martin 22,377 ↑2844 69.53 % ↑5.03
Conservative Colin Clark 5,147 ↑936 15.99 % ↑2.09
Liberal Democrat Christine Jardine 3,208 ↓1030 9.97 % ↓4.02
Labour Sarah Flavell 💸 1,454 ↓850 4.52 % ↓3.09
SNP HOLD Majority: 17,230 Swing: ↑1.47%

Aberdeenshire West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Dennis Robertson 🛋 13,961 ↑1775 48.27 % ↑5.72
Conservative Alexander Burnett 🎢 7,367 ↑1340 25.47 % ↑4.42
Liberal Democrat Mike Rumbles 🎢 6,111 ↓1963 21.13 % ↓7.07
Labour Sarah Duncan 1,482 ↓867 5.13 % ↓3.07
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,594 Swing: ↑0.65%

Airdrie & Shotts 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 13,729 ↑1745 62.02 % ↑11.87
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 6,300 ↓3683 28.46 % ↓13.32
Conservative Eric Holford 1,706 ↑310 7.71 % ↑1.87
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 402 ↓129 1.82 % ↓0.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,429 Swing: ↑12.59%

Almond Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 19,136 ↑2432 66.03 % ↑11.69
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 7,044 ↓4118 24.30 % ↓12.01
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,305 ↑419 7.95 % ↑1.81
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 497 ↓159 1.71 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,092 Swing: ↑11.85%

Angus North & Mearns 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mari Evans 15,649 ↑1989 58.52 % ↑3.70
Conservative Alex Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,791 ↑1417 29.14 % ↑3.56
Labour John Ruddy 1,994 ↓1166 7.46 % ↓5.22
Liberal Democrat Euan Davidson 💸 1,306 ↓420 4.89 % ↓2.04
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,858 Swing: ↑0.07%

Angus South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Graeme Dey 🛋 18,518 ↑2354 65.34 % ↑6.87
Conservative Kirstene Hair 6,822 ↑1241 24.07 % ↑3.88
Labour Joanne McFadden 2,337 ↓1366 8.25 % ↓5.15
Liberal Democrat Clive Sneddon 💸 662 ↓212 2.33 % ↓0.83
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,696 Swing: ↑1.50%

Argyll & Bute 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 15,340 ↑1950 58.43 % ↑7.86
Conservative Donald Cameron 5,925 ↑1078 22.57 % ↑4.26
Labour Mick Rice 2,550 ↓1491 9.71 % ↓5.55
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,437 ↓783 9.28 % ↓2.88
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,415 Swing: ↑1.80%

Ayr 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Scott 🛋 15,887 ↑2890 45.46 % ↑6.52
SNP Jennifer Dunn 13,615 ↑1731 38.95 % ↑3.34
Labour Brian McGinley 4,909 ↓2870 14.05 % ↓9.26
Liberal Democrat Robbie Simpson 💸 540 ↓173 1.54 % ↓0.60
Conservative HOLD Majority: 2,272 Swing: ↑1.59%

Banffshire & Buchan Coast 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stewart Stevenson 🛋 19,260 ↑2448 70.64 % ↑3.40
Conservative Peter Chapman 5,613 ↑1021 20.59 % ↑2.22
Labour Nathan Morrison 1,667 ↓975 6.12 % ↓4.45
Liberal Democrat David Evans 💸 725 ↓233 2.66 % ↓1.17
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,647 Swing: ↑0.59%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 15,859 ↑2016 57.23 % ↑8.83
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 🎢 4,833 ↓1552 17.44 % ↓4.89
Conservative Struan Mackie 3,586 ↑652 12.94 % ↑2.68
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,432 ↓2006 12.38 % ↓6.63
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,026 Swing: ↑6.86%

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jeane Freeman 15,180 ↑1930 55.26 % ↑9.10
Labour Carol Mochan 6,733 ↓3936 24.51 % ↓12.66
Conservative Lee Lyons 5,085 ↑925 18.51 % ↑4.02
Liberal Democrat Dawud Islam 💸 472 ↓152 1.72 % ↓0.45
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,447 Swing: ↑10.88%

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 15,183 ↑1930 57.69 % ↑9.35
Labour Craig Miller 6,086 ↓3558 23.12 % ↓12.06
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,279 ↑778 16.26 % ↑3.49
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 770 ↓248 2.93 % ↓0.78
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,097 Swing: ↑10.71%

Clydebank & Milngavie 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gil Paterson 🛋 14,066 ↑1788 53.95 % ↑10.67
Labour Gail Casey 7,298 ↓4266 27.99 % ↓12.77
Conservative Maurice Golden 🎢 3,371 ↑613 12.93 % ↑3.21
Liberal Democrat Frank Bowles 1,339 ↓430 5.14 % ↓1.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,768 Swing: ↑11.72%

Clydesdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Aileen Campbell 🛋 16,740 ↑2128 57.96 % ↑9.15
Labour Claudia Beamish 📃 🎢 6,561 ↓3835 22.72 % ↓12.01
Conservative Alex Allison 4,855 ↑883 16.81 % ↑3.54
Liberal Democrat Fraser Grieve 💸 724 ↓233 2.51 % ↓0.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,179 Swing: ↑10.58%

Coatbridge & Chryston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 10,591 ↑1346 50.51 % ↑10.80
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 7,527 ↓4401 35.90 % ↓15.34
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,599 ↑291 7.63 % ↑2.01
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 1,022 ↑526 4.88 % ↑2.75
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 229 ↓73 1.09 % ↓0.21
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,064 Swing: ↑13.07%

Cowdenbeath 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 12,234 ↑1555 53.88 % ↑12.28
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 7,526 ↓4400 33.15 % ↓13.31
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,190 ↑398 9.65 % ↑2.67
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 755 ↓242 3.32 % ↓0.56
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,708 Swing: ↑12.79%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 15,575 ↑1980 65.82 % ↑11.99
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 6,396 ↓3740 27.03 % ↓13.11
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,413 ↑257 5.97 % ↑1.39
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 278 ↓89 1.17 % ↓0.28
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,179 Swing: ↑12.55%

Cunninghame North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kenneth Gibson 🛋 17,802 ↑2263 61.20 % ↑8.59
Labour Johanna Baxter 5,946 ↓3476 20.44 % ↓11.46
Conservative Jamie Greene 🎢 4,929 ↑897 16.94 % ↑3.29
Liberal Democrat Charity Pierce 💸 411 ↓132 1.41 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,856 Swing: ↑10.03%

Cunninghame South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ruth Maguire 12,594 ↑1601 60.69 % ↑10.85
Labour Joe Cullinane 5,456 ↓3189 26.29 % ↓12.91
Conservative William McClure 2,287 ↑416 11.02 % ↑2.54
Liberal Democrat Ruby Kirkwood 💸 414 ↓133 2.00 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,138 Swing: ↑11.88%

Dumbarton 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Robertson 12,514 ↑1591 49.58 % ↑11.26
Labour Jackie Baillie 🛋 🎢 7,927 ↓4635 31.41 % ↓12.65
Conservative Maurice Corry 4,150 ↑755 16.44 % ↑4.53
Liberal Democrat Aileen Morton 💸 649 ↓209 2.57 % ↓0.44
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,587 Swing: ↑11.96%

Dumfriesshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Oliver Mundell 11,573 ↑2105 38.30 % ↑8.62
SNP Joan McAlpine 📃 🎢 9,605 ↑1221 31.78 % ↑5.49
Labour Elaine Murray 🛋 7,967 ↓4657 26.36 % ↓13.22
Liberal Democrat Richard Brodie 💸 1,074 ↓345 3.55 % ↓0.90
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,968 Swing: ↑1.56%

Dundee City East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shona Robison 🛋 18,950 ↑2409 71.86 % ↑7.63
Labour Richard McCready 3,699 ↓2163 14.03 % ↓8.73
Conservative Bill Bowman 3,117 ↑567 11.82 % ↑1.92
Liberal Democrat Craig Duncan 💸 605 ↓195 2.30 % ↓0.81
SNP HOLD Majority: 15,251 Swing: ↑8.18%

Dundee City West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Joe Fitzpatrick 🛋 16,141 ↑2052 67.87 % ↑10.27
Labour Jenny Marra 📃 🎢 4,849 ↓2835 20.39 % ↓11.02
Conservative Nicola Ross 1,986 ↑361 8.35 % ↑1.71
Liberal Democrat Daniel Coleman 💸 805 ↓258 3.38 % ↓0.97
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,292 Swing: ↑10.64%

Dunfermline 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 12,613 ↑1603 48.29 % ↑10.71
Labour Cara Hilton 6,576 ↓3844 25.18 % ↓10.38
Liberal Democrat James Calder 4,372 ↓1404 16.74 % ↓2.97
Conservative James Reekie 2,558 ↑465 9.80 % ↑2.66
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,037 Swing: ↑10.55%

East Kilbride 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 16,450 ↑2091 60.04 % ↑12.03
Labour LizAnne Handibode 7,832 ↓4578 28.58 % ↓12.91
Conservative Graham Simpson 2,763 ↑503 10.08 % ↑2.52
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 354 ↓114 1.29 % ↓0.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,618 Swing: ↑12.47%

East Lothian 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP DJ Johnston-Smith 14,189 ↑1804 47.17 % ↑8.68
Labour Iain Gray 🛋 🎢 7,911 ↓4625 26.30 % ↓12.66
Conservative Rachael Hamilton 6,532 ↑1188 21.72 % ↑5.11
Liberal Democrat Ettie Spencer 💸 1,447 ↓465 4.81 % ↓1.13
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 6,278 Swing: ↑10.67%

Eastwood 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Jackson Carlaw 📃 13,018 ↑2368 42.61 % ↑9.25
SNP Stewart Maxwell 📃 8,910 ↑1133 29.16 % ↑4.80
Labour Ken Macintosh 🛋 🎢 7,991 ↓4671 26.15 % ↓13.51
Liberal Democrat John Duncan 💸 632 ↓203 2.07 % ↓0.55
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,108 Swing: ↑2.23%

Edinburgh Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 9,303 ↑4789 29.07 % ↑13.51
SNP Alison Dickie 9,038 ↑1149 28.24 % ↑1.05
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,223 ↑950 16.32 % ↑1.59
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 🎢 4,494 ↓2627 14.04 % ↓10.50
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 3,949 ↓1268 12.34 % ↓5.64
Green GAIN from SNP Majority: 265 Swing: ↑6.23%

Edinburgh Eastern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 16,671 ↑2119 58.31 % ↑10.95
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 7,774 ↓4545 27.19 % ↓12.90
Conservative Nick Cook 3,215 ↑585 11.24 % ↑2.68
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 929 ↓298 3.25 % ↓0.74
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,897 Swing: ↑11.93%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 14,049 ↑1786 50.38 % ↑10.67
Labour Lesley Hinds 8,114 ↓4744 29.10 % ↓12.53
Conservative Iain McGill 3,579 ↑651 12.83 % ↑3.35
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,146 ↓690 7.70 % ↓1.48
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,935 Swing: ↑11.60%

Edinburgh Pentlands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 12,828 ↑1631 42.08 % ↑4.82
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 11,538 ↑2099 37.85 % ↑6.44
Labour Blair Heary 5,044 ↓2949 16.55 % ↓10.05
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,075 ↓345 3.53 % ↓1.20
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,290 Swing: ↓0.81%

Edinburgh Southern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 11,396 ↑1449 36.51 % ↑7.08
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 7,698 ↑1400 24.66 % ↑6.02
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 6,280 ↓2017 20.12 % ↓4.43
Labour Daniel Johnston 5,840 ↓3414 18.71 % ↓8.67
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,698 Swing: ↑0.53%

Edinburgh Western 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 13,707 ↑1742 43.63 % ↑7.86
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 🎢 7,021 ↓2255 22.35 % ↓5.38
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,169 ↑1122 19.64 % ↑4.55
Labour Cat Headley 4,521 ↓2643 14.39 % ↓7.03
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,686 Swing: ↑6.62%

Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Lamont 🛋 15,809 ↑2876 52.39 % ↑7.51
SNP Paul Wheelhouse 📃 8,706 ↑1107 28.85 % ↑2.48
Liberal Democrat Jim Hume 📃 🎢 3,777 ↓1213 12.52 % ↓4.80
Labour Barrie Cunning 1,884 ↓1102 6.24 % ↓4.12
Conservative HOLD Majority: 7,103 Swing: ↑2.51%

Falkirk East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 16,385 ↑2083 61.53 % ↑10.76
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 6,795 ↓3972 25.52 % ↓12.70
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 2,899 ↑527 10.89 % ↑2.47
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 550 ↓177 2.07 % ↓0.51
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,590 Swing: ↑11.73%

Falkirk West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 17,880 ↑2273 65.88 % ↑10.53
Labour Mandy Telford 6,224 ↓3638 22.93 % ↓12.04
Conservative Alison Harris 2,550 ↑464 9.39 % ↑1.99
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 487 ↓157 1.80 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,656 Swing: ↑11.29%

Galloway & West Dumfries 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Finlay Carson 13,533 ↑2462 43.90 % ↑6.99
SNP Aileen McLeod 📃 11,696 ↑1487 37.94 % ↑3.91
Labour Fiona O'Donnell 5,019 ↓2935 16.28 % ↓10.24
Liberal Democrat Andrew Metcalf 💸 577 ↓186 1.87 % ↓0.67
Conservative HOLD Majority: 1,837 Swing: ↑1.54%

Glasgow Anniesland 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bill Kidd 🛋 11,833 ↑1504 54.88 % ↑11.69
Labour Bill Butler 6,514 ↓3808 30.21 % ↓12.95
Conservative Adam Tomkins 🎢 2,458 ↑447 11.40 % ↑2.99
Liberal Democrat James Spiers 💸 757 ↓243 3.51 % ↓0.67
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,319 Swing: ↑12.32%

Glasgow Cathcart 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP James Dornan 🛋 13,654 ↑1736 56.98 % ↑11.53
Labour Soryia Siddique 6,516 ↓3810 27.19 % ↓12.19
Conservative Kyle Thornton 2,946 ↑536 12.29 % ↑3.10
Liberal Democrat Margot Clark 💸 846 ↓272 3.53 % ↓0.73
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,138 Swing: ↑11.86%

Glasgow Kelvin 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Sandra White 🛋 10,400 ↑1322 37.91 % ↑0.31
Green Patrick Harvie 📃 🎢 9,132 ↑4701 33.29 % ↑14.94
Labour Michael Shanks 4,843 ↓2832 17.65 % ↓14.14
Conservative Sheila Mechan 2,157 ↑392 7.86 % ↑0.55
Liberal Democrat Carole Ford 💸 904 ↓290 3.29 % ↓1.66
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,268 Swing: ↓7.31%

Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bob Doris 📃 9,843 ↑1251 54.07 % ↑12.22
Labour Patricia Ferguson 🛋 6,237 ↓3647 34.26 % ↓13.88
Conservative John Anderson 1,494 ↑272 8.21 % ↑2.26
Liberal Democrat James Harrison 💸 630 ↓203 3.46 % ↓0.60
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,606 Swing: ↑13.05%

Glasgow Pollok 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Humza Yousaf 📃 11,745 ↑1493 57.11 % ↑12.37
Labour Johann Lamont 🛋 🎢 6,863 ↓4012 33.37 % ↓14.09
Conservative Thomas Haddow 1,587 ↑289 7.71 % ↑2.05
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 💸 371 ↓119 1.80 % ↓0.34
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,882 Swing: ↑13.23%

Glasgow Provan 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ivan McKee 9,117 ↑1159 54.55 % ↑13.07
Labour Paul Martin 🛋 6,334 ↓3703 37.90 % ↓14.42
Conservative Annie Wells 950 ↑173 5.68 % ↑1.63
Liberal Democrat Thomas Coleman 💸 313 ↓100 1.87 % ↓0.28
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,783 Swing: ↑13.75%

Glasgow Shettleston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Mason 🛋 11,603 ↑1475 60.03 % ↑12.27
Labour Thomas Rannachan 6,022 ↓3520 31.15 % ↓13.85
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,422 ↑259 7.36 % ↑1.88
Liberal Democrat Giovanni Caccavello 💸 281 ↓90 1.45 % ↓0.30
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,581 Swing: ↑13.06%

Glasgow Southside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 🛋 14,098 ↑1792 64.97 % ↑10.54
Labour Fariha Thomas 5,021 ↓2936 23.14 % ↓12.06
Conservative Graham Hutchison 2,118 ↑385 9.76 % ↑2.09
Liberal Democrat Kevin Lewsey 💸 463 ↓149 2.13 % ↓0.58
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,077 Swing: ↑11.30%

Greenock & Inverclyde 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stuart McMillan 📃 13,605 ↑1729 53.68 % ↑11.58
Labour Siobhan McCready 7,817 ↓4570 30.84 % ↓13.07
Conservative Graeme Brooks 2,458 ↑447 9.70 % ↑2.57
Liberal Democrat John Watson 1,464 ↓470 5.78 % ↓1.08
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,788 Swing: ↑12.32%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 13,979 ↑1777 58.58 % ↑10.45
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 6,304 ↓3685 26.42 % ↓12.98
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,113 ↑566 13.05 % ↑3.00
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 466 ↓150 1.95 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,675 Swing: ↑11.71%

Inverness & Nairn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 19,327 ↑2457 61.72 % ↑10.18
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 4,641 ↑844 14.82 % ↑3.22
Labour David Stewart 📃 4,496 ↓2629 14.36 % ↓7.41
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 2,848 ↓915 9.10 % ↓2.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 14,686 Swing: ↑3.48%

Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Willie Coffey 🛋 19,434 ↑2470 62.96 % ↑9.71
Labour Dave Meechan 6,923 ↓4048 22.43 % ↓12.01
Conservative Brian Whittle 4,045 ↑736 13.10 % ↑2.71
Liberal Democrat Rebecca Plenderleith 💸 465 ↓149 1.51 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,511 Swing: ↑10.86%

Kirkcaldy 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 14,411 ↑1832 56.94 % ↑11.70
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 7,823 ↓4574 30.91 % ↓13.68
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,453 ↑446 9.69 % ↑2.47
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 621 ↓199 2.45 % ↓0.50
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,588 Swing: ↑12.69%

Linlithgow 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 19,507 ↑2480 61.59 % ↑11.78
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 8,163 ↓4773 25.77 % ↓12.07
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,234 ↑588 10.21 % ↑2.47
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 768 ↓247 2.43 % ↓0.54
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,344 Swing: ↑11.93%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 15,765 ↑2004 64.79 % ↑12.49
Labour Kay Morrison 6,041 ↓3532 24.83 % ↓11.55
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,049 ↑373 8.42 % ↑2.05
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 477 ↓153 1.96 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,724 Swing: ↑12.02%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 16,129 ↑2050 59.35 % ↑12.13
Labour Bernard Harkins 6,994 ↓4089 25.73 % ↓11.44
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,106 ↑565 11.43 % ↑2.91
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 949 ↓305 3.49 % ↓0.72
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,135 Swing: ↑11.79%

Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christine Grahame 🛋 15,873 ↑2018 51.94 % ↑8.43
Liberal Democrat Kris Chapman 6,760 ↓2171 22.12 % ↓5.93
Conservative Michelle Ballantyne 4,575 ↑832 14.97 % ↑3.21
Labour Fiona Dugdale 3,352 ↓1960 10.97 % ↓5.71
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,113 Swing: ↑7.18%

Moray 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 19,266 ↑2449 64.85 % ↑6.04
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 7,179 ↑1306 24.17 % ↑3.63
Labour Sean Morton 2,259 ↓1321 7.60 % ↓4.92
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 1,004 ↓323 3.38 % ↓1.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,087 Swing: ↑1.21%

Motherwell & Wishaw 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 11,601 ↑1475 55.82 % ↑14.41
Labour John Pentland 🛋 6,761 ↓3952 32.53 % ↓11.28
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,143 ↑390 10.31 % ↑3.14
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 278 ↓89 1.34 % ↓0.16
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,840 Swing: ↑12.84%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 9,733 ↑1237 75.19 % ↑9.89
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,350 ↓1374 18.16 % ↓10.46
Conservative Ranald Fraser 688 ↑125 5.32 % ↑0.99
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 173 ↓55 1.33 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,383 Swing: ↑10.18%

North East Fife 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 12,635 ↑1606 44.86 % ↑7.70
Conservative Huw Bell 6,867 ↑1249 24.38 % ↑5.45
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 🎢 6,386 ↓2051 22.67 % ↓5.76
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,280 ↓1333 8.09 % ↓4.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,768 Swing: ↑1.12%

Orkney Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Donna Heddle 2,342 ↑298 41.27 % ↑16.20
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 2,204 ↓708 38.84 % ↑3.12
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 839 ↑153 14.78 % ↑6.36
Labour Gerry McGarvey 289 ↓169 5.09 % ↓0.53
SNP GAIN from Liberal Democrat Majority: 138 Swing: ↑6.54%

Paisley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP George Adam 🛋 12,502 ↑1589 53.64 % ↑10.99
Labour Neil Bibby 📃 🎢 6,730 ↓3935 28.88 % ↓12.80
Conservative Paul Masterton 2,725 ↑496 11.69 % ↑2.98
Liberal Democrat Eileen McCartin 1,349 ↓434 5.79 % ↓1.18
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,772 Swing: ↑11.89%

Perthshire North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 20,872 ↑2653 63.10 % ↑2.27
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 9,615 ↑1749 29.07 % ↑2.81
Labour Anna McEwan 1,686 ↓986 5.10 % ↓3.82
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 905 ↓291 2.74 % ↓1.25
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,257 Swing: ↓0.27%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 18,414 ↑2341 54.93 % ↑3.44
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 10,888 ↑1981 32.48 % ↑3.95
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,512 ↓1468 7.49 % ↓5.26
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 1,707 ↓549 5.09 % ↓2.14
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,526 Swing: ↓0.26%

Renfrewshire North & West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Derek Mackay 13,186 ↑1676 49.59 % ↑7.73
Conservative David Wilson 6,710 ↑1221 25.23 % ↑5.27
Labour Mary Fee 📃 🎢 6,277 ↓3669 23.61 % ↓12.56
Liberal Democrat Rod Ackland 💸 416 ↓134 1.57 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,476 Swing: ↑1.23%

Renfrewshire South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Tom Arthur 11,864 ↑1508 49.18 % ↑10.69
Labour Paul O'Kane 8,162 ↓4771 33.83 % ↓14.23
Conservative Ann Leblond 3,566 ↑649 14.78 % ↑3.94
Liberal Democrat Tristan Gray 💸 531 ↓171 2.20 % ↓0.41
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,702 Swing: ↑12.46%

Rutherglen 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Haughey 12,270 ↑1560 51.99 % ↑12.47
Labour James Kelly 🛋 🎢 7,881 ↓4608 33.39 % ↓12.69
Conservative Taylor Muir 2,562 ↑466 10.86 % ↑3.13
Liberal Democrat Robert Brown 💸 889 ↓285 3.76 % ↓0.57
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,389 Swing: ↑12.58%

Shetland Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 3,377 ↓1085 61.74 % ↑14.23
SNP Danus Skene 1,299 ↑165 23.75 % ↑11.67
Conservative Cameron Smith 403 ↑73 7.37 % ↑3.86
Labour Robina Barton 391 ↓229 7.15 % ↑0.55
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 2,078 Swing: ↑1.28%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 16,883 ↑2146 55.69 % ↑9.51
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 7,373 ↓2369 24.32 % ↓6.20
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,464 ↑630 11.43 % ↑2.55
Labour Linda Stewart 2,595 ↓1517 8.56 % ↓4.32
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,510 Swing: ↑7.86%

Stirling 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 17,022 ↑2164 57.83 % ↑8.96
Labour Rebecca Bell 5,798 ↓3390 19.70 % ↓10.52
Conservative Dean Lockhart 🎢 5,635 ↑1025 19.14 % ↑3.98
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 981 ↓315 3.33 % ↓0.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,224 Swing: ↑9.74%

Strathkelvin & Bearsden 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rona Mackay 16,334 ↑2076 51.71 % ↑9.47
Labour Margaret McCarthy 7,861 ↓4595 24.88 % ↓12.02
Conservative Andrew Polson 5,425 ↑987 17.17 % ↑4.02
Liberal Democrat Katy Gordon 1,968 ↓632 6.23 % ↓1.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,473 Swing: ↑10.75%

Uddingston & Bellshill 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 12,392 ↑1575 54.69 % ↑11.41
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 7,277 ↓4254 32.12 % ↓14.01
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,588 ↑471 11.42 % ↑2.95
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 401 ↓129 1.77 % ↓0.35
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,115 Swing: ↑12.71%