Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

What Scotland Thinks, 27th April 2016

These are our forecasts for all MSPs in the Lothian region at the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll-of-polls produced by What Scotland Thinks on 27th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑6.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓11.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑3.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑0.98
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓8.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑5.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑0.8
Green 4.37 %  % ↑4.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓5.43

Our forecast

Lothian: full results

SNP Labour Conservative Lib Dem Green UKIP RISE
Vote share 40.78 % 17.36 % 17.30 % 6.47 % 15.94 % 2.16 % 0.00 %
Constituency seats 8 1
Votes 113,421 48,286 48,108 17,996 44,322 6,000 0
1st divisor 9 1 1 1 2 1 1
1st allocation 12,602 48,286 48,108 17,996 22,161 6,000 0
2nd divisor 9 2 1 1 2 1 1
2nd allocation 12,602 24,143 48,108 17,996 22,161 6,000 0
3rd divisor 9 2 2 1 2 1 1
3rd allocation 12,602 24,143 24,054 17,996 22,161 6,000 0
4th divisor 9 3 2 1 2 1 1
4th allocation 12,602 16,095 24,054 17,996 22,161 6,000 0
5th divisor 9 3 3 1 2 1 1
5th allocation 12,602 16,095 16,036 17,996 22,161 6,000 0
6th divisor 9 3 3 1 3 1 1
6th allocation 12,602 16,095 16,036 17,996 14,774 6,000 0
7th divisor 9 3 3 2 3 1 1
7th allocation 12,602 16,095 16,036 8,998 14,774 6,000 0
8th divisor 9 4 3 2 3 1 1
8th allocation 12,602 12,072 16,036 8,998 14,774 6,000 0
Party Candidate
1 Labour Kezia Dugdale
2 Conservative Ruth Davidson
3 Labour Neil Findlay
4 Conservative Miles Briggs
5 Green Andy Wightman
6 Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton
7 Labour Sarah Boyack

Constituencies in Lothian region

Almond Valley

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 19,136 ↑2432 66.03 % ↑11.69
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 7,044 ↓4118 24.30 % ↓12.01
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,305 ↑419 7.95 % ↑1.81
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 497 ↓159 1.71 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,092 Swing: ↑11.85%

Edinburgh Central

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 9,303 ↑4789 29.07 % ↑13.51
SNP Alison Dickie 9,038 ↑1149 28.24 % ↑1.05
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,223 ↑950 16.32 % ↑1.59
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 🎢 4,494 ↓2627 14.04 % ↓10.50
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 3,949 ↓1268 12.34 % ↓5.64
Green GAIN from SNP Majority: 265 Swing: ↑6.23%

Edinburgh Eastern

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 16,671 ↑2119 58.31 % ↑10.95
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 7,774 ↓4545 27.19 % ↓12.90
Conservative Nick Cook 3,215 ↑585 11.24 % ↑2.68
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 929 ↓298 3.25 % ↓0.74
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,897 Swing: ↑11.93%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 14,049 ↑1786 50.38 % ↑10.67
Labour Lesley Hinds 8,114 ↓4744 29.10 % ↓12.53
Conservative Iain McGill 3,579 ↑651 12.83 % ↑3.35
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,146 ↓690 7.70 % ↓1.48
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,935 Swing: ↑11.60%

Edinburgh Pentlands

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 12,828 ↑1631 42.08 % ↑4.82
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 11,538 ↑2099 37.85 % ↑6.44
Labour Blair Heary 5,044 ↓2949 16.55 % ↓10.05
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,075 ↓345 3.53 % ↓1.20
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,290 Swing: ↓0.81%

Edinburgh Southern

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 11,396 ↑1449 36.51 % ↑7.08
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 7,698 ↑1400 24.66 % ↑6.02
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 6,280 ↓2017 20.12 % ↓4.43
Labour Daniel Johnston 5,840 ↓3414 18.71 % ↓8.67
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,698 Swing: ↑0.53%

Edinburgh Western

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 13,707 ↑1742 43.63 % ↑7.86
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 🎢 7,021 ↓2255 22.35 % ↓5.38
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,169 ↑1122 19.64 % ↑4.55
Labour Cat Headley 4,521 ↓2643 14.39 % ↓7.03
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,686 Swing: ↑6.62%

Linlithgow

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 19,507 ↑2480 61.59 % ↑11.78
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 8,163 ↓4773 25.77 % ↓12.07
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,234 ↑588 10.21 % ↑2.47
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 768 ↓247 2.43 % ↓0.54
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,344 Swing: ↑11.93%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 16,129 ↑2050 59.35 % ↑12.13
Labour Bernard Harkins 6,994 ↓4089 25.73 % ↓11.44
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,106 ↑565 11.43 % ↑2.91
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 949 ↓305 3.49 % ↓0.72
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,135 Swing: ↑11.79%