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Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

YouGov/Times, 12th April 2016

These are our forecasts for constituency MSPs in the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by YouGov and published in the Times on 12th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑4.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓10.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑4.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓2.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑4.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑0.98
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓7.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑5.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↓0.2
Green 4.37 %  % ↑3.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓4.43

Our forecast

Constituencies

Aberdeen Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kevin Stewart 🛋 11,080 ↑1022 48.53 % ↑8.54
Labour Lewis Macdonald 6,256 ↓3185 27.40 % ↓10.14
Conservative Tom Mason 4,012 ↑912 17.57 % ↑5.24
Liberal Democrat Liam Bruce 1,482 ↓867 6.49 % ↓2.85
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,824 Swing: ↑9.34%

Aberdeen Donside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mark McDonald 📃 16,292 ↑1502 64.77 % ↑9.50
Labour Greg Williams 5,046 ↓2569 20.06 % ↓8.40
Conservative Liam Kerr 2,803 ↑637 11.14 % ↑3.05
Liberal Democrat Isobel Davidson 💸 1,013 ↓593 4.03 % ↓1.97
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,246 Swing: ↑8.95%

Aberdeen South & North Kincardine 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Maureen Watt 🛋 13,160 ↑1213 52.04 % ↑10.34
Conservative Ross Thomson 🎢 5,252 ↑1194 20.77 % ↑6.61
Labour Alison Evison 3,727 ↓1897 14.74 % ↓4.89
Liberal Democrat John Waddell 3,150 ↓1844 12.46 % ↓4.97
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,908 Swing: ↑1.86%

Aberdeenshire East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gillian Martin 21,517 ↑1984 69.04 % ↑4.54
Conservative Colin Clark 5,450 ↑1239 17.49 % ↑3.59
Liberal Democrat Christine Jardine 2,673 ↓1565 8.58 % ↓5.41
Labour Sarah Flavell 💸 1,527 ↓777 4.90 % ↓2.71
SNP HOLD Majority: 16,067 Swing: ↑0.48%

Aberdeenshire West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Dennis Robertson 🛋 13,424 ↑1238 48.16 % ↑5.61
Conservative Alexander Burnett 🎢 7,801 ↑1774 27.99 % ↑6.94
Liberal Democrat Mike Rumbles 🎢 5,092 ↓2982 18.27 % ↓9.93
Labour Sarah Duncan 1,556 ↓793 5.58 % ↓2.62
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,623 Swing: ↓0.66%

Airdrie & Shotts 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 13,201 ↑1217 60.12 % ↑9.97
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 6,615 ↓3368 30.13 % ↓11.65
Conservative Eric Holford 1,807 ↑411 8.23 % ↑2.39
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 335 ↓196 1.53 % ↓0.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,586 Swing: ↑10.81%

Almond Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 18,400 ↑1696 64.22 % ↑9.88
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 7,396 ↓3766 25.81 % ↓10.50
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,441 ↑555 8.52 % ↑2.38
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 414 ↓242 1.44 % ↓0.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,004 Swing: ↑10.19%

Angus North & Mearns 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mari Evans 15,047 ↑1387 56.83 % ↑2.01
Conservative Alex Johnstone 📃 🎢 8,250 ↑1876 31.15 % ↑5.57
Labour John Ruddy 2,094 ↓1066 7.91 % ↓4.77
Liberal Democrat Euan Davidson 💸 1,089 ↓637 4.11 % ↓2.82
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,797 Swing: ↓1.78%

Angus South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Graeme Dey 🛋 17,806 ↑1642 63.51 % ↑5.04
Conservative Kirstene Hair 7,223 ↑1642 25.77 % ↑5.58
Labour Joanne McFadden 2,454 ↓1249 8.75 % ↓4.65
Liberal Democrat Clive Sneddon 💸 551 ↓323 1.97 % ↓1.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,583 Swing: ↓0.27%

Argyll & Bute 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 14,750 ↑1360 57.32 % ↑6.75
Conservative Donald Cameron 6,273 ↑1426 24.38 % ↑6.07
Labour Mick Rice 2,678 ↓1363 10.41 % ↓4.85
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,031 ↓1189 7.89 % ↓4.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,477 Swing: ↑0.34%

Ayr 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Scott 🛋 16,822 ↑3825 47.36 % ↑8.42
SNP Jennifer Dunn 13,091 ↑1207 36.86 % ↑1.25
Labour Brian McGinley 5,155 ↓2624 14.51 % ↓8.80
Liberal Democrat Robbie Simpson 💸 450 ↓263 1.27 % ↓0.87
Conservative HOLD Majority: 3,731 Swing: ↑3.58%

Banffshire & Buchan Coast 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stewart Stevenson 🛋 18,519 ↑1707 69.06 % ↑1.82
Conservative Peter Chapman 5,943 ↑1351 22.16 % ↑3.79
Labour Nathan Morrison 1,751 ↓891 6.53 % ↓4.04
Liberal Democrat David Evans 💸 604 ↓354 2.25 % ↓1.58
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,576 Swing: ↓0.99%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 15,249 ↑1406 57.16 % ↑8.76
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 🎢 4,027 ↓2358 15.10 % ↓7.23
Conservative Struan Mackie 3,797 ↑863 14.24 % ↑3.98
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,603 ↓1835 13.51 % ↓5.50
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,222 Swing: ↑8.00%

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jeane Freeman 14,596 ↑1346 53.19 % ↑7.03
Labour Carol Mochan 7,069 ↓3600 25.76 % ↓11.41
Conservative Lee Lyons 5,384 ↑1224 19.62 % ↑5.13
Liberal Democrat Dawud Islam 💸 394 ↓230 1.43 % ↓0.74
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,527 Swing: ↑9.22%

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 14,599 ↑1346 55.80 % ↑7.46
Labour Craig Miller 6,390 ↓3254 24.43 % ↓10.75
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,531 ↑1030 17.32 % ↑4.55
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 642 ↓376 2.45 % ↓1.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,209 Swing: ↑9.11%

Clydebank & Milngavie 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gil Paterson 🛋 13,525 ↑1247 52.27 % ↑8.99
Labour Gail Casey 7,663 ↓3901 29.61 % ↓11.15
Conservative Maurice Golden 🎢 3,570 ↑812 13.80 % ↑4.08
Liberal Democrat Frank Bowles 💸 1,116 ↓653 4.31 % ↓1.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,862 Swing: ↑10.07%

Clydesdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Aileen Campbell 🛋 16,096 ↑1484 56.03 % ↑7.22
Labour Claudia Beamish 📃 🎢 6,889 ↓3507 23.98 % ↓10.75
Conservative Alex Allison 5,141 ↑1169 17.89 % ↑4.62
Liberal Democrat Fraser Grieve 💸 604 ↓353 2.10 % ↓1.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,207 Swing: ↑8.98%

Coatbridge & Chryston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 10,184 ↑939 48.77 % ↑9.06
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 7,904 ↓4024 37.85 % ↓13.39
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,693 ↑385 8.11 % ↑2.49
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 909 ↑413 4.35 % ↑2.22
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 190 ↓112 0.91 % ↓0.39
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,280 Swing: ↑11.23%

Cowdenbeath 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 11,764 ↑1085 52.02 % ↑10.42
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 7,902 ↓4024 34.94 % ↓11.52
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,319 ↑527 10.26 % ↑3.28
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 629 ↓368 2.78 % ↓1.10
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,862 Swing: ↑10.97%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 14,976 ↑1381 63.95 % ↑10.12
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 6,716 ↓3420 28.68 % ↓11.46
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,496 ↑340 6.39 % ↑1.81
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 231 ↓136 0.99 % ↓0.46
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,260 Swing: ↑10.79%

Cunninghame North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kenneth Gibson 🛋 17,117 ↑1578 59.19 % ↑6.58
Labour Johanna Baxter 6,243 ↓3179 21.59 % ↓10.31
Conservative Jamie Greene 🎢 5,218 ↑1186 18.04 % ↑4.39
Liberal Democrat Charity Pierce 💸 342 ↓201 1.18 % ↓0.66
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,874 Swing: ↑8.45%

Cunninghame South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ruth Maguire 12,109 ↑1116 58.77 % ↑8.93
Labour Joe Cullinane 5,728 ↓2917 27.80 % ↓11.40
Conservative William McClure 2,422 ↑551 11.75 % ↑3.27
Liberal Democrat Ruby Kirkwood 💸 345 ↓202 1.67 % ↓0.81
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,381 Swing: ↑10.16%

Dumbarton 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Robertson 12,032 ↑1109 47.58 % ↑9.26
Labour Jackie Baillie 🛋 🎢 8,324 ↓4238 32.91 % ↓11.15
Conservative Maurice Corry 4,394 ↑999 17.37 % ↑5.46
Liberal Democrat Aileen Morton 💸 541 ↓317 2.14 % ↓0.87
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,708 Swing: ↑10.21%

Dumfriesshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Oliver Mundell 12,254 ↑2786 39.85 % ↑10.17
SNP Joan McAlpine 📃 🎢 9,235 ↑851 30.04 % ↑3.75
Labour Elaine Murray 🛋 8,365 ↓4259 27.20 % ↓12.38
Liberal Democrat Richard Brodie 💸 895 ↓524 2.91 % ↓1.54
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,019 Swing: ↑3.21%

Dundee City East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shona Robison 🛋 18,221 ↑1680 70.32 % ↑6.09
Labour Richard McCready 3,884 ↓1978 14.99 % ↓7.77
Conservative Bill Bowman 3,300 ↑750 12.74 % ↑2.84
Liberal Democrat Craig Duncan 💸 505 ↓295 1.95 % ↓1.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 14,337 Swing: ↑6.93%

Dundee City West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Joe Fitzpatrick 🛋 15,520 ↑1431 66.37 % ↑8.77
Labour Jenny Marra 📃 🎢 5,092 ↓2592 21.77 % ↓9.64
Conservative Nicola Ross 2,103 ↑478 8.99 % ↑2.35
Liberal Democrat Daniel Coleman 💸 670 ↓393 2.87 % ↓1.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,428 Swing: ↑9.21%

Dunfermline 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 12,128 ↑1118 47.78 % ↑10.20
Labour Cara Hilton 6,904 ↓3516 27.20 % ↓8.36
Liberal Democrat James Calder 3,643 ↓2133 14.35 % ↓5.36
Conservative James Reekie 2,709 ↑616 10.67 % ↑3.53
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,224 Swing: ↑9.28%

East Kilbride 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 15,817 ↑1458 58.02 % ↑10.01
Labour LizAnne Handibode 8,223 ↓4187 30.17 % ↓11.32
Conservative Graham Simpson 2,925 ↑665 10.73 % ↑3.17
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 295 ↓173 1.08 % ↓0.48
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,594 Swing: ↑10.66%

East Lothian 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP DJ Johnston-Smith 13,643 ↑1258 45.37 % ↑6.88
Labour Iain Gray 🛋 🎢 8,307 ↓4229 27.62 % ↓11.34
Conservative Rachael Hamilton 🎢 6,917 ↑1573 23.00 % ↑6.39
Liberal Democrat Ettie Spencer 💸 1,206 ↓706 4.01 % ↓1.93
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,336 Swing: ↑9.11%

Eastwood 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Jackson Carlaw 📃 13,784 ↑3134 44.08 % ↑10.72
SNP Stewart Maxwell 📃 8,567 ↑790 27.40 % ↑3.04
Labour Ken Macintosh 🛋 🎢 8,390 ↓4272 26.83 % ↓12.83
Liberal Democrat John Duncan 💸 527 ↓308 1.68 % ↓0.94
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,217 Swing: ↑3.84%

Edinburgh Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alison Dickie 8,690 ↑801 28.49 % ↑1.30
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 🎢 8,270 ↑3756 27.11 % ↑11.55
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,530 ↑1257 18.13 % ↑3.40
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 🎢 4,719 ↓2402 15.47 % ↓9.07
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 3,290 ↓1927 10.79 % ↓7.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 420 Swing: ↓5.12%

Edinburgh Eastern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 16,030 ↑1478 56.50 % ↑9.14
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 8,163 ↓4156 28.77 % ↓11.32
Conservative Nick Cook 3,404 ↑774 12.00 % ↑3.44
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 774 ↓453 2.73 % ↓1.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,867 Swing: ↑10.23%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 13,508 ↑1245 48.93 % ↑9.22
Labour Lesley Hinds 8,520 ↓4338 30.86 % ↓10.77
Conservative Iain McGill 3,790 ↑862 13.73 % ↑4.25
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 1,789 ↓1047 6.48 % ↓2.70
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,988 Swing: ↑10.00%

Edinburgh Pentlands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 12,334 ↑1137 40.12 % ↑2.86
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 12,217 ↑2778 39.74 % ↑8.33
Labour Blair Heary 5,296 ↓2697 17.23 % ↓9.37
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 896 ↓524 2.91 % ↓1.82
SNP HOLD Majority: 117 Swing: ↓2.74%

Edinburgh Southern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 10,957 ↑1010 35.96 % ↑6.53
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 8,151 ↑1853 26.75 % ↑8.11
Labour Daniel Johnston 6,132 ↓3122 20.12 % ↓7.26
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 5,233 ↓3064 17.17 % ↓7.38
SNP HOLD Majority: 2,806 Swing: ↓0.79%

Edinburgh Western 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 13,180 ↑1215 43.48 % ↑7.71
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,532 ↑1485 21.55 % ↑6.46
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 5,851 ↓3425 19.30 % ↓8.43
Labour Cat Headley 4,747 ↓2417 15.66 % ↓5.76
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,648 Swing: ↑0.62%

Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Lamont 🛋 16,739 ↑3806 55.36 % ↑10.48
SNP Paul Wheelhouse 📃 8,371 ↑772 27.68 % ↑1.31
Liberal Democrat Jim Hume 📃 3,147 ↓1843 10.41 % ↓6.91
Labour Barrie Cunning 1,979 ↓1007 6.54 % ↓3.82
Conservative HOLD Majority: 8,368 Swing: ↑4.58%

Falkirk East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 15,755 ↑1453 59.64 % ↑8.87
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 7,134 ↓3633 27.01 % ↓11.21
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 3,070 ↑698 11.62 % ↑3.20
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 459 ↓268 1.74 % ↓0.84
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,621 Swing: ↑10.04%

Falkirk West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 17,192 ↑1585 64.07 % ↑8.72
Labour Mandy Telford 6,535 ↓3327 24.35 % ↓10.62
Conservative Alison Harris 2,700 ↑614 10.06 % ↑2.66
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 406 ↓238 1.51 % ↓0.77
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,657 Swing: ↑9.67%

Galloway & West Dumfries 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Finlay Carson 14,329 ↑3258 45.74 % ↑8.83
SNP Aileen McLeod 📃 11,246 ↑1037 35.90 % ↑1.87
Labour Fiona O'Donnell 5,270 ↓2684 16.82 % ↓9.70
Liberal Democrat Andrew Metcalf 💸 481 ↓282 1.54 % ↓1.00
Conservative HOLD Majority: 3,083 Swing: ↑3.48%

Glasgow Anniesland 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bill Kidd 🛋 11,378 ↑1049 53.04 % ↑9.85
Labour Bill Butler 6,840 ↓3482 31.88 % ↓11.28
Conservative Adam Tomkins 🎢 2,603 ↑592 12.13 % ↑3.72
Liberal Democrat James Spiers 💸 631 ↓369 2.94 % ↓1.24
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,538 Swing: ↑10.56%

Glasgow Cathcart 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP James Dornan 🛋 13,128 ↑1210 55.18 % ↑9.73
Labour Soryia Siddique 6,842 ↓3484 28.76 % ↓10.62
Conservative Kyle Thornton 3,119 ↑709 13.11 % ↑3.92
Liberal Democrat Margot Clark 💸 705 ↓413 2.96 % ↓1.30
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,286 Swing: ↑10.18%

Glasgow Kelvin 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Sandra White 🛋 10,000 ↑922 38.11 % ↑0.51
Green Patrick Harvie 📃 🎢 8,118 ↑3687 30.94 % ↑12.59
Labour Michael Shanks 5,086 ↓2589 19.38 % ↓12.41
Conservative Sheila Mechan 2,284 ↑519 8.71 % ↑1.40
Liberal Democrat Carole Ford 💸 753 ↓441 2.87 % ↓2.08
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,882 Swing: ↓6.04%

Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bob Doris 📃 9,465 ↑873 52.23 % ↑10.38
Labour Patricia Ferguson 🛋 6,549 ↓3335 36.14 % ↓12.00
Conservative John Anderson 1,582 ↑360 8.73 % ↑2.78
Liberal Democrat James Harrison 💸 525 ↓308 2.90 % ↓1.16
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,916 Swing: ↑11.19%

Glasgow Pollok 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Humza Yousaf 📃 11,293 ↑1041 55.12 % ↑10.38
Labour Johann Lamont 🛋 🎢 7,206 ↓3669 35.17 % ↓12.29
Conservative Thomas Haddow 1,680 ↑382 8.20 % ↑2.54
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 💸 309 ↓181 1.51 % ↓0.63
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,087 Swing: ↑11.34%

Glasgow Provan 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ivan McKee 8,766 ↑808 52.55 % ↑11.07
Labour Paul Martin 🛋 6,651 ↓3386 39.87 % ↓12.45
Conservative Annie Wells 1,006 ↑229 6.03 % ↑1.98
Liberal Democrat Thomas Coleman 💸 260 ↓153 1.56 % ↓0.59
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,115 Swing: ↑11.76%

Glasgow Shettleston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Mason 🛋 11,157 ↑1029 58.05 % ↑10.29
Labour Thomas Rannachan 6,323 ↓3219 32.90 % ↓12.10
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,505 ↑342 7.83 % ↑2.35
Liberal Democrat Giovanni Caccavello 💸 234 ↓137 1.22 % ↓0.53
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,834 Swing: ↑11.20%

Glasgow Southside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 🛋 13,556 ↑1250 63.18 % ↑8.75
Labour Fariha Thomas 5,272 ↓2685 24.57 % ↓10.63
Conservative Graham Hutchison 2,243 ↑510 10.45 % ↑2.78
Liberal Democrat Kevin Lewsey 💸 386 ↓226 1.80 % ↓0.91
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,284 Swing: ↑9.69%

Greenock & Inverclyde 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stuart McMillan 📃 13,082 ↑1206 52.09 % ↑9.99
Labour Siobhan McCready 8,208 ↓4179 32.68 % ↓11.23
Conservative Graeme Brooks 2,603 ↑592 10.36 % ↑3.23
Liberal Democrat John Watson 💸 1,220 ↓714 4.86 % ↓2.00
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,874 Swing: ↑10.61%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 13,441 ↑1239 56.61 % ↑8.48
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 6,619 ↓3370 27.87 % ↓11.53
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,296 ↑749 13.88 % ↑3.83
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 389 ↓227 1.64 % ↓0.79
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,822 Swing: ↑10.00%

Inverness & Nairn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 18,583 ↑1713 60.75 % ↑9.21
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 4,914 ↑1117 16.06 % ↑4.46
Labour David Stewart 📃 4,721 ↓2404 15.43 % ↓6.34
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 2,373 ↓1390 7.76 % ↓3.74
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,669 Swing: ↑2.38%

Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Willie Coffey 🛋 18,687 ↑1723 61.01 % ↑7.76
Labour Dave Meechan 7,270 ↓3701 23.74 % ↓10.70
Conservative Brian Whittle 4,283 ↑974 13.98 % ↑3.59
Liberal Democrat Rebecca Plenderleith 💸 387 ↓227 1.26 % ↓0.67
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,417 Swing: ↑9.23%

Kirkcaldy 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 13,857 ↑1278 55.02 % ↑9.78
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 8,214 ↓4183 32.62 % ↓11.97
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,598 ↑591 10.31 % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 517 ↓303 2.05 % ↓0.90
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,643 Swing: ↑10.88%

Linlithgow 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 18,756 ↑1729 59.75 % ↑9.94
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 8,572 ↓4364 27.30 % ↓10.54
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,425 ↑779 10.91 % ↑3.17
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 640 ↓375 2.04 % ↓0.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,184 Swing: ↑10.24%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 15,159 ↑1398 62.98 % ↑10.68
Labour Kay Morrison 6,343 ↓3230 26.36 % ↓10.02
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,169 ↑493 9.01 % ↑2.64
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 397 ↓233 1.65 % ↓0.74
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,816 Swing: ↑10.35%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 15,509 ↑1430 57.58 % ↑10.36
Labour Bernard Harkins 7,344 ↓3739 27.27 % ↓9.90
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,289 ↑748 12.21 % ↑3.69
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 791 ↓463 2.94 % ↓1.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,165 Swing: ↑10.13%

Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christine Grahame 🛋 15,262 ↑1407 52.16 % ↑8.65
Liberal Democrat Kris Chapman 5,633 ↓3298 19.25 % ↓8.80
Conservative Michelle Ballantyne 4,844 ↑1101 16.56 % ↑4.80
Labour Fiona Dugdale 3,520 ↓1792 12.03 % ↓4.65
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,629 Swing: ↑8.73%

Moray 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 18,525 ↑1708 63.15 % ↑4.34
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 7,601 ↑1728 25.91 % ↑5.37
Labour Sean Morton 2,372 ↓1208 8.09 % ↓4.43
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 837 ↓490 2.85 % ↓1.79
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,924 Swing: ↓0.52%

Motherwell & Wishaw 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 11,154 ↑1028 53.75 % ↑12.34
Labour John Pentland 🛋 7,099 ↓3614 34.21 % ↓9.60
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,269 ↑516 10.93 % ↑3.76
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 231 ↓136 1.12 % ↓0.38
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,055 Swing: ↑10.97%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 9,359 ↑863 73.69 % ↑8.39
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,468 ↓1256 19.43 % ↓9.19
Conservative Ranald Fraser 729 ↑166 5.74 % ↑1.41
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 144 ↓84 1.13 % ↓0.62
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,891 Swing: ↑8.79%

North East Fife 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 12,149 ↑1120 44.77 % ↑7.61
Conservative Huw Bell 7,271 ↑1653 26.80 % ↑7.87
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 5,321 ↓3116 19.61 % ↓8.82
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,394 ↓1219 8.82 % ↓3.35
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,878 Swing: ↓0.13%

Orkney Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Donna Heddle 2,252 ↑208 42.64 % ↑17.57
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 1,837 ↓1075 34.79 % ↓0.93
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 888 ↑202 16.82 % ↑8.40
Labour Gerry McGarvey 303 ↓155 5.75 % ↑0.13
SNP GAIN from Liberal Democrat Majority: 415 Swing: ↑9.25%

Paisley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP George Adam 🛋 12,021 ↑1108 52.04 % ↑9.39
Labour Neil Bibby 📃 🎢 7,067 ↓3598 30.59 % ↓11.09
Conservative Paul Masterton 2,885 ↑656 12.49 % ↑3.78
Liberal Democrat Eileen McCartin 💸 1,125 ↓658 4.87 % ↓2.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,954 Swing: ↑10.24%

Perthshire North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 20,069 ↑1850 61.23 % ↑0.40
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 10,181 ↑2315 31.06 % ↑4.80
Labour Anna McEwan 1,771 ↓901 5.40 % ↓3.52
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 754 ↓442 2.30 % ↓1.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,888 Swing: ↓2.20%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 17,705 ↑1632 53.18 % ↑1.69
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 11,528 ↑2621 34.63 % ↑6.10
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,637 ↓1343 7.92 % ↓4.83
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 💸 1,423 ↓833 4.27 % ↓2.96
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,177 Swing: ↓2.21%

Renfrewshire North & West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Derek Mackay 12,679 ↑1169 47.45 % ↑5.59
Conservative David Wilson 7,104 ↑1615 26.59 % ↑6.63
Labour Mary Fee 📃 🎢 6,590 ↓3356 24.66 % ↓11.51
Liberal Democrat Rod Ackland 💸 347 ↓203 1.30 % ↓0.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,575 Swing: ↓0.52%

Renfrewshire South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Tom Arthur 11,408 ↑1052 47.15 % ↑8.66
Labour Paul O'Kane 8,570 ↓4363 35.42 % ↓12.64
Conservative Ann Leblond 3,775 ↑858 15.60 % ↑4.76
Liberal Democrat Tristan Gray 💸 443 ↓259 1.83 % ↓0.78
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,838 Swing: ↑10.65%

Rutherglen 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Haughey 11,798 ↑1088 50.15 % ↑10.63
Labour James Kelly 🛋 🎢 8,275 ↓4214 35.18 % ↓10.90
Conservative Taylor Muir 2,713 ↑617 11.53 % ↑3.80
Liberal Democrat Robert Brown 💸 740 ↓434 3.15 % ↓1.18
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,523 Swing: ↑10.77%

Shetland Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 2,814 ↓1648 57.42 % ↑9.91
SNP Danus Skene 1,249 ↑115 25.49 % ↑13.41
Conservative Cameron Smith 427 ↑97 8.71 % ↑5.20
Labour Robina Barton 411 ↓209 8.38 % ↑1.78
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 1,565 Swing: ↓1.75%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 16,234 ↑1497 56.42 % ↑10.24
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 6,145 ↓3597 21.36 % ↓9.16
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,668 ↑834 12.75 % ↑3.87
Labour Linda Stewart 2,725 ↓1387 9.47 % ↓3.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,089 Swing: ↑9.70%

Stirling 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 16,367 ↑1509 55.98 % ↑7.11
Labour Rebecca Bell 6,088 ↓3100 20.82 % ↓9.40
Conservative Dean Lockhart 🎢 5,967 ↑1357 20.41 % ↑5.25
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 817 ↓479 2.80 % ↓1.46
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,279 Swing: ↑8.26%

Strathkelvin & Bearsden 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rona Mackay 15,706 ↑1448 50.11 % ↑7.87
Labour Margaret McCarthy 8,254 ↓4202 26.33 % ↓10.57
Conservative Andrew Polson 5,744 ↑1306 18.33 % ↑5.18
Liberal Democrat Katy Gordon 1,640 ↓960 5.23 % ↓2.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,452 Swing: ↑9.22%

Uddingston & Bellshill 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 11,916 ↑1099 52.65 % ↑9.37
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 7,641 ↓3890 33.76 % ↓12.37
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,740 ↑623 12.11 % ↑3.64
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 334 ↓196 1.48 % ↓0.64
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,275 Swing: ↑10.87%