Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

TNS, 6th April 2016

These are our forecasts for all MSPs in the Highlands and Islands region at the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by TNS and published on 6th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑10.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓12.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑1.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑2.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑2.98
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓5.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑2.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑0.8
Green 4.37 %  % ↑3.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑0.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↑1.58
Others 6.43 %  % ↓6.43

Our forecast

Highlands and Islands: full results

SNP Labour Conservative Lib Dem Green UKIP RISE
Vote share 49.19 % 11.19 % 13.70 % 13.58 % 9.00 % 2.00 % 1.33 %
Constituency seats 7 1
Votes 90,840 20,670 25,306 25,086 16,627 3,701 2,450
1st divisor 8 1 1 2 1 1 1
1st allocation 11,355 20,670 25,306 12,543 16,627 3,701 2,450
2nd divisor 8 1 2 2 1 1 1
2nd allocation 11,355 20,670 12,653 12,543 16,627 3,701 2,450
3rd divisor 8 2 2 2 1 1 1
3rd allocation 11,355 10,335 12,653 12,543 16,627 3,701 2,450
4th divisor 8 2 2 2 2 1 1
4th allocation 11,355 10,335 12,653 12,543 8,314 3,701 2,450
5th divisor 8 2 3 2 2 1 1
5th allocation 11,355 10,335 8,435 12,543 8,314 3,701 2,450
6th divisor 8 2 3 3 2 1 1
6th allocation 11,355 10,335 8,435 8,362 8,314 3,701 2,450
7th divisor 9 2 3 3 2 1 1
7th allocation 10,093 10,335 8,435 8,362 8,314 3,701 2,450
8th divisor 9 3 3 3 2 1 1
8th allocation 10,093 6,890 8,435 8,362 8,314 3,701 2,450
Party Candidate
1 Conservative Douglas Ross
2 Labour Rhoda Grant
3 Green John Finnie
4 Conservative Edward Mountain
5 Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone
6 SNP Maree Todd
7 Labour David Stewart

Constituencies in Highlands and Islands region

Argyll & Bute

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 16,520 ↑3130 62.09 % ↑11.52
Conservative Donald Cameron 5,228 ↑381 19.65 % ↑1.34
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,437 ↓783 9.16 % ↓3.00
Labour Mick Rice 2,423 ↓1618 9.10 % ↓6.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,292 Swing: ↑5.09%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 17,079 ↑3236 60.27 % ↑11.87
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 🎢 4,833 ↓1552 17.05 % ↓5.28
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,260 ↓2178 11.51 % ↓7.50
Conservative Struan Mackie 3,164 ↑230 11.17 % ↑0.91
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,246 Swing: ↑8.57%

Inverness & Nairn

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 20,813 ↑3943 64.98 % ↑13.44
Labour David Stewart 📃 🎢 4,272 ↓2853 13.34 % ↓8.43
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 4,095 ↑298 12.79 % ↑1.19
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 2,848 ↓915 8.89 % ↓2.61
SNP HOLD Majority: 16,541 Swing: ↑10.93%

Moray

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 20,748 ↑3931 68.63 % ↑9.82
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 6,334 ↑461 20.95 % ↑0.41
Labour Sean Morton 2,146 ↓1434 7.10 % ↓5.42
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 1,004 ↓323 3.32 % ↓1.32
SNP HOLD Majority: 14,414 Swing: ↑4.71%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 10,482 ↑1986 77.67 % ↑12.37
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,233 ↓1491 16.54 % ↓12.08
Conservative Ranald Fraser 💸 607 ↑44 4.50 % ↑0.17
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 173 ↓55 1.28 % ↓0.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,249 Swing: ↑12.22%

Orkney Islands

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Donna Heddle 2,522 ↑478 43.93 % ↑18.86
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 2,204 ↓708 38.39 % ↑2.67
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 740 ↑54 12.89 % ↑4.47
Labour Gerry McGarvey 💸 275 ↓183 4.78 % ↓0.84
SNP GAIN from Liberal Democrat Majority: 318 Swing: ↑8.09%

Shetland Islands

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 3,377 ↓1085 61.36 % ↑13.85
SNP Danus Skene 1,399 ↑265 25.42 % ↑13.34
Labour Robina Barton 372 ↓248 6.75 % ↑0.15
Conservative Cameron Smith 356 ↑26 6.47 % ↑2.96
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 1,978 Swing: ↑0.25%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 18,182 ↑3445 58.51 % ↑12.33
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 7,373 ↓2369 23.73 % ↓6.79
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,057 ↑223 9.84 % ↑0.96
Labour Linda Stewart 2,465 ↓1647 7.93 % ↓4.95
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,809 Swing: ↑9.56%