Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

TNS, 28th April 2016

These are our forecasts for all MSPs in the Mid Scotland and Fife region at the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll published by TNS on 28th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑6.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓9.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓0.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑0.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑0.98
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓4.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑5.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↓0.2
Green 4.37 %  % ↑3.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↓0.91
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓4.43

Our forecast

Mid Scotland and Fife: full results

SNP Labour Conservative Lib Dem Green UKIP RISE
Vote share 45.70 % 20.71 % 20.35 % 5.57 % 7.66 % 0.00 % 0.00 %
Constituency seats 9
Votes 119,287 54,063 53,118 14,530 19,995 0 0
1st divisor 10 1 1 1 1 1 1
1st allocation 11,929 54,063 53,118 14,530 19,995 0 0
2nd divisor 10 2 1 1 1 1 1
2nd allocation 11,929 27,032 53,118 14,530 19,995 0 0
3rd divisor 10 2 2 1 1 1 1
3rd allocation 11,929 27,032 26,559 14,530 19,995 0 0
4th divisor 10 3 2 1 1 1 1
4th allocation 11,929 18,021 26,559 14,530 19,995 0 0
5th divisor 10 3 3 1 1 1 1
5th allocation 11,929 18,021 17,706 14,530 19,995 0 0
6th divisor 10 3 3 1 2 1 1
6th allocation 11,929 18,021 17,706 14,530 9,998 0 0
7th divisor 10 4 3 1 2 1 1
7th allocation 11,929 13,516 17,706 14,530 9,998 0 0
8th divisor 10 4 4 1 2 1 1
8th allocation 11,929 13,516 13,280 14,530 9,998 0 0
Party Candidate
1 Labour Alex Rowley
2 Conservative Murdo Fraser
3 Labour Claire Baker
4 Conservative Liz Smith
5 Green Mark Ruskell
6 Labour Thomas Docherty
7 Conservative Dean Lockhart

Constituencies in Mid Scotland and Fife region

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 15,183 ↑1930 56.12 % ↑7.78
Labour Craig Miller 6,695 ↓2949 24.74 % ↓10.44
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,279 ↑778 15.82 % ↑3.05
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 899 ↓119 3.32 % ↓0.39
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,488 Swing: ↑9.11%

Cowdenbeath

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 12,234 ↑1555 51.88 % ↑10.28
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 8,279 ↓3647 35.10 % ↓11.36
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,190 ↑398 9.29 % ↑2.31
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 880 ↓117 3.73 % ↓0.15
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,955 Swing: ↑10.82%

Dunfermline

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 12,613 ↑1603 45.86 % ↑8.28
Labour Cara Hilton 7,233 ↓3187 26.30 % ↓9.26
Liberal Democrat James Calder 5,100 ↓676 18.54 % ↓1.17
Conservative James Reekie 2,558 ↑465 9.30 % ↑2.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,380 Swing: ↑8.77%

Kirkcaldy

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 14,411 ↑1832 55.02 % ↑9.78
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 8,606 ↓3791 32.85 % ↓11.74
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,453 ↑446 9.37 % ↑2.15
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 724 ↓96 2.76 % ↓0.19
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,805 Swing: ↑10.76%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 15,765 ↑2004 63.02 % ↑10.72
Labour Kay Morrison 6,645 ↓2928 26.57 % ↓9.81
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,049 ↑373 8.19 % ↑1.82
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 556 ↓74 2.22 % ↓0.17
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,120 Swing: ↑10.27%

North East Fife

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 12,635 ↑1606 42.89 % ↑5.73
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 7,450 ↓987 25.29 % ↓3.14
Conservative Huw Bell 6,867 ↑1249 23.31 % ↑4.38
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,508 ↓1105 8.51 % ↓3.66
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,185 Swing: ↑4.44%

Perthshire North

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 20,872 ↑2653 62.50 % ↑1.67
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 9,615 ↑1749 28.79 % ↑2.53
Labour Anna McEwan 1,855 ↓817 5.55 % ↓3.37
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 1,056 ↓140 3.16 % ↓0.83
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,257 Swing: ↓0.43%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 18,414 ↑2341 54.07 % ↑2.58
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 10,888 ↑1981 31.97 % ↑3.44
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,763 ↓1217 8.11 % ↓4.64
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 1,992 ↓264 5.85 % ↓1.38
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,526 Swing: ↓0.43%

Stirling

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 17,022 ↑2164 56.40 % ↑7.53
Labour Rebecca Bell 6,378 ↓2810 21.13 % ↓9.09
Conservative Dean Lockhart 🎢 5,635 ↑1025 18.67 % ↑3.51
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 1,144 ↓152 3.79 % ↓0.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,644 Swing: ↑8.31%