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Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

BMG Research/Herald, 18th April 2016

These are our forecasts for constituency MSPs in the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by BMG Research and published in the Herald on 18th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑9.71
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓9.89
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑2.79
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.53
Others 1.08 %  % ↓1.08

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑2.18
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓6.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑3.85
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑1
Green 4.37 %  % ↑3.13
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.79
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓6.23

Our forecast

Constituencies

Aberdeen Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kevin Stewart 🛋 12,210 ↑2152 50.20 % ↑10.21
Labour Lewis Macdonald 6,494 ↓2947 26.70 % ↓10.84
Conservative Tom Mason 3,722 ↑622 15.30 % ↑2.97
Liberal Democrat Liam Bruce 1,896 ↓453 7.80 % ↓1.54
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,716 Swing: ↑10.53%

Aberdeen Donside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mark McDonald 📃 17,954 ↑3164 66.27 % ↑11.00
Labour Greg Williams 5,238 ↓2377 19.34 % ↓9.12
Conservative Liam Kerr 2,601 ↑435 9.60 % ↑1.51
Liberal Democrat Isobel Davidson 💸 1,297 ↓309 4.79 % ↓1.21
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,716 Swing: ↑10.06%

Aberdeen South & North Kincardine 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Maureen Watt 🛋 14,503 ↑2556 53.17 % ↑11.47
Conservative Ross Thomson 🎢 4,873 ↑815 17.86 % ↑3.70
Liberal Democrat John Waddell 4,032 ↓962 14.78 % ↓2.65
Labour Alison Evison 3,869 ↓1755 14.18 % ↓5.45
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,630 Swing: ↑3.89%

Aberdeenshire East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gillian Martin 23,712 ↑4179 70.20 % ↑5.70
Conservative Colin Clark 5,057 ↑846 14.97 % ↑1.07
Liberal Democrat Christine Jardine 3,421 ↓817 10.13 % ↓3.86
Labour Sarah Flavell 💸 1,585 ↓719 4.69 % ↓2.92
SNP HOLD Majority: 18,655 Swing: ↑2.31%

Aberdeenshire West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Dennis Robertson 🛋 14,793 ↑2607 49.04 % ↑6.49
Conservative Alexander Burnett 🎢 7,237 ↑1210 23.99 % ↑2.94
Liberal Democrat Mike Rumbles 🎢 6,518 ↓1556 21.61 % ↓6.59
Labour Sarah Duncan 1,616 ↓733 5.36 % ↓2.84
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,556 Swing: ↑1.78%

Airdrie & Shotts 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 14,548 ↑2564 61.85 % ↑11.70
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 6,867 ↓3116 29.20 % ↓12.58
Conservative Eric Holford 1,676 ↑280 7.13 % ↑1.29
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 429 ↓102 1.82 % ↓0.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,681 Swing: ↑12.14%

Almond Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 20,277 ↑3573 65.94 % ↑11.60
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 7,678 ↓3484 24.97 % ↓11.34
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,265 ↑379 7.36 % ↑1.22
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 530 ↓126 1.72 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,599 Swing: ↑11.47%

Angus North & Mearns 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Mari Evans 16,582 ↑2922 59.64 % ↑4.82
Conservative Alex Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,654 ↑1280 27.53 % ↑1.95
Labour John Ruddy 2,174 ↓986 7.82 % ↓4.86
Liberal Democrat Euan Davidson 1,393 ↓333 5.01 % ↓1.92
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,928 Swing: ↑1.44%

Angus South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Graeme Dey 🛋 19,622 ↑3458 66.34 % ↑7.87
Conservative Kirstene Hair 6,702 ↑1121 22.66 % ↑2.47
Labour Joanne McFadden 2,547 ↓1156 8.61 % ↓4.79
Liberal Democrat Clive Sneddon 💸 706 ↓168 2.39 % ↓0.77
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,920 Swing: ↑2.70%

Argyll & Bute 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Russell 🛋 16,254 ↑2864 59.21 % ↑8.64
Conservative Donald Cameron 5,820 ↑973 21.20 % ↑2.89
Labour Mick Rice 2,780 ↓1261 10.12 % ↓5.14
Liberal Democrat Alan Reid 2,600 ↓620 9.47 % ↓2.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,434 Swing: ↑2.88%

Ayr 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Scott 🛋 15,607 ↑2610 43.40 % ↑4.46
SNP Jennifer Dunn 14,426 ↑2542 40.12 % ↑4.51
Labour Brian McGinley 5,351 ↓2428 14.88 % ↓8.43
Liberal Democrat Robbie Simpson 💸 576 ↓137 1.60 % ↓0.54
Conservative HOLD Majority: 1,181 Swing: ↓0.02%

Banffshire & Buchan Coast 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stewart Stevenson 🛋 20,408 ↑3596 71.58 % ↑4.34
Conservative Peter Chapman 5,514 ↑922 19.34 % ↑0.97
Labour Nathan Morrison 1,817 ↓825 6.37 % ↓4.20
Liberal Democrat David Evans 💸 773 ↓185 2.71 % ↓1.12
SNP HOLD Majority: 14,894 Swing: ↑1.69%

Caithness, Sutherland & Ross 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Ross 16,804 ↑2961 57.50 % ↑9.10
Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone 🎢 5,155 ↓1230 17.64 % ↓4.69
Labour Leah Franchetti 3,741 ↓1697 12.80 % ↓6.21
Conservative Struan Mackie 3,523 ↑589 12.06 % ↑1.80
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,649 Swing: ↑6.89%

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jeane Freeman 16,084 ↑2834 55.61 % ↑9.45
Labour Carol Mochan 7,339 ↓3330 25.37 % ↓11.80
Conservative Lee Lyons 4,995 ↑835 17.27 % ↑2.78
Liberal Democrat Dawud Islam 💸 504 ↓120 1.74 % ↓0.43
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,745 Swing: ↑10.62%

Clackmannanshire & Dunblane 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Keith Brown 🛋 16,088 ↑2835 57.98 % ↑9.64
Labour Craig Miller 6,634 ↓3010 23.91 % ↓11.27
Conservative Alexander Stewart 4,204 ↑703 15.15 % ↑2.38
Liberal Democrat Christopher McKinlay 💸 822 ↓196 2.96 % ↓0.75
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,454 Swing: ↑10.46%

Clydebank & Milngavie 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gil Paterson 🛋 14,905 ↑2627 54.00 % ↑10.72
Labour Gail Casey 7,954 ↓3610 28.82 % ↓11.94
Conservative Maurice Golden 🎢 3,312 ↑554 12.00 % ↑2.28
Liberal Democrat Frank Bowles 1,428 ↓341 5.17 % ↓1.07
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,951 Swing: ↑11.33%

Clydesdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Aileen Campbell 🛋 17,738 ↑3126 58.29 % ↑9.48
Labour Claudia Beamish 📃 🎢 7,151 ↓3245 23.50 % ↓11.23
Conservative Alex Allison 4,770 ↑798 15.67 % ↑2.40
Liberal Democrat Fraser Grieve 💸 773 ↓184 2.54 % ↓0.66
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,587 Swing: ↑10.36%

Coatbridge & Chryston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 11,223 ↑1978 50.79 % ↑11.08
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 8,205 ↓3723 37.13 % ↓14.11
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,571 ↑263 7.11 % ↑1.49
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 852 ↑356 3.86 % ↑1.73
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 244 ↓58 1.10 % ↓0.20
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,018 Swing: ↑12.59%

Cowdenbeath 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Annabelle Ewing 📃 12,963 ↑2284 53.74 % ↑12.14
Labour Alex Rowley 🎢 8,203 ↓3723 34.01 % ↓12.45
Conservative Dave Dempsey 2,152 ↑360 8.92 % ↑1.94
Liberal Democrat Bryn Jones 💸 805 ↓192 3.34 % ↓0.54
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,760 Swing: ↑12.29%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 16,503 ↑2908 65.60 % ↑11.77
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 6,972 ↓3164 27.71 % ↓12.43
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,388 ↑232 5.52 % ↑0.94
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 296 ↓71 1.18 % ↓0.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,531 Swing: ↑12.10%

Cunninghame North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kenneth Gibson 🛋 18,863 ↑3324 61.60 % ↑8.99
Labour Johanna Baxter 6,481 ↓2941 21.16 % ↓10.74
Conservative Jamie Greene 🎢 4,842 ↑810 15.81 % ↑2.16
Liberal Democrat Charity Pierce 💸 438 ↓105 1.43 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,382 Swing: ↑9.87%

Cunninghame South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ruth Maguire 13,345 ↑2352 60.71 % ↑10.87
Labour Joe Cullinane 5,947 ↓2698 27.05 % ↓12.15
Conservative William McClure 2,247 ↑376 10.22 % ↑1.74
Liberal Democrat Ruby Kirkwood 💸 442 ↓105 2.01 % ↓0.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,398 Swing: ↑11.51%

Dumbarton 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gail Robertson 13,260 ↑2337 49.72 % ↑11.40
Labour Jackie Baillie 🛋 🎢 8,641 ↓3921 32.40 % ↓11.66
Conservative Maurice Corry 4,077 ↑682 15.29 % ↑3.38
Liberal Democrat Aileen Morton 💸 693 ↓165 2.60 % ↓0.41
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,619 Swing: ↑11.53%

Dumfriesshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Oliver Mundell 11,369 ↑1901 36.23 % ↑6.55
SNP Joan McAlpine 📃 🎢 10,178 ↑1794 32.44 % ↑6.15
Labour Elaine Murray 🛋 8,684 ↓3940 27.67 % ↓11.91
Liberal Democrat Richard Brodie 💸 1,146 ↓273 3.65 % ↓0.80
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 1,191 Swing: ↑0.20%

Dundee City East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shona Robison 🛋 20,079 ↑3538 72.18 % ↑7.95
Labour Richard McCready 4,032 ↓1830 14.49 % ↓8.27
Conservative Bill Bowman 3,062 ↑512 11.01 % ↑1.11
Liberal Democrat Craig Duncan 💸 646 ↓154 2.32 % ↓0.79
SNP HOLD Majority: 16,047 Swing: ↑8.11%

Dundee City West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Joe Fitzpatrick 🛋 17,103 ↑3014 67.87 % ↑10.27
Labour Jenny Marra 📃 🎢 5,286 ↓2398 20.98 % ↓10.43
Conservative Nicola Ross 1,951 ↑326 7.74 % ↑1.10
Liberal Democrat Daniel Coleman 💸 858 ↓205 3.41 % ↓0.94
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,817 Swing: ↑10.35%

Dunfermline 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Shirley-Anne Somerville 13,365 ↑2355 48.23 % ↑10.65
Labour Cara Hilton 7,168 ↓3252 25.87 % ↓9.69
Liberal Democrat James Calder 4,663 ↓1113 16.83 % ↓2.88
Conservative James Reekie 2,513 ↑420 9.07 % ↑1.93
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,197 Swing: ↑10.17%

East Kilbride 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 17,431 ↑3072 59.98 % ↑11.97
Labour LizAnne Handibode 8,536 ↓3874 29.38 % ↓12.11
Conservative Graham Simpson 2,714 ↑454 9.34 % ↑1.78
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 378 ↓90 1.30 % ↓0.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,895 Swing: ↑12.04%

East Lothian 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP DJ Johnston-Smith 15,034 ↑2649 47.55 % ↑9.06
Labour Iain Gray 🛋 🎢 8,623 ↓3913 27.27 % ↓11.69
Conservative Rachael Hamilton 6,417 ↑1073 20.30 % ↑3.69
Liberal Democrat Ettie Spencer 💸 1,544 ↓368 4.88 % ↓1.06
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 6,411 Swing: ↑10.38%

Eastwood 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Jackson Carlaw 📃 12,788 ↑2138 40.45 % ↑7.09
SNP Stewart Maxwell 📃 9,441 ↑1664 29.86 % ↑5.50
Labour Ken Macintosh 🛋 🎢 8,710 ↓3952 27.55 % ↓12.11
Liberal Democrat John Duncan 💸 674 ↓161 2.13 % ↓0.49
Conservative GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,347 Swing: ↑0.79%

Edinburgh Central 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alison Dickie 9,577 ↑1688 30.33 % ↑3.14
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 🎢 7,753 ↑3239 24.56 % ↑9.00
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,131 ↑858 16.25 % ↑1.52
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 4,898 ↓2223 15.52 % ↓9.02
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 4,212 ↓1005 13.34 % ↓4.64
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,824 Swing: ↓2.93%

Edinburgh Eastern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 17,665 ↑3113 58.32 % ↑10.96
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 8,474 ↓3845 27.98 % ↓12.11
Conservative Nick Cook 3,158 ↑528 10.43 % ↑1.87
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 991 ↓236 3.27 % ↓0.72
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,191 Swing: ↑11.54%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 14,886 ↑2623 50.40 % ↑10.69
Labour Lesley Hinds 8,845 ↓4013 29.94 % ↓11.69
Conservative Iain McGill 3,516 ↑588 11.90 % ↑2.42
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,290 ↓546 7.75 % ↓1.43
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 6,041 Swing: ↑11.19%

Edinburgh Pentlands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 13,592 ↑2395 43.05 % ↑5.79
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 11,334 ↑1895 35.90 % ↑4.49
Labour Blair Heary 5,498 ↓2495 17.42 % ↓9.18
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,146 ↓274 3.63 % ↓1.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 2,258 Swing: ↑0.65%

Edinburgh Southern 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 12,075 ↑2128 36.93 % ↑7.50
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 7,563 ↑1265 23.13 % ↑4.49
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 6,698 ↓1599 20.48 % ↓4.07
Labour Daniel Johnston 6,365 ↓2889 19.47 % ↓7.91
SNP HOLD Majority: 4,512 Swing: ↑1.50%

Edinburgh Western 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 14,525 ↑2560 44.01 % ↑8.24
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 🎢 7,489 ↓1787 22.69 % ↓5.04
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,060 ↑1013 18.36 % ↑3.27
Labour Cat Headley 4,928 ↓2236 14.93 % ↓6.49
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,036 Swing: ↑6.64%

Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative John Lamont 🛋 15,530 ↑2597 50.36 % ↑5.48
SNP Paul Wheelhouse 📃 🎢 9,225 ↑1626 29.91 % ↑3.54
Liberal Democrat Jim Hume 📃 🎢 4,029 ↓961 13.06 % ↓4.26
Labour Barrie Cunning 2,054 ↓932 6.66 % ↓3.70
Conservative HOLD Majority: 6,305 Swing: ↑0.97%

Falkirk East 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 17,361 ↑3059 61.56 % ↑10.79
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 7,406 ↓3361 26.26 % ↓11.96
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 2,848 ↑476 10.10 % ↑1.68
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 587 ↓140 2.08 % ↓0.50
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,955 Swing: ↑11.38%

Falkirk West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 18,946 ↑3339 65.89 % ↑10.54
Labour Mandy Telford 6,784 ↓3078 23.59 % ↓11.38
Conservative Alison Harris 2,505 ↑419 8.71 % ↑1.31
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 520 ↓124 1.81 % ↓0.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,162 Swing: ↑10.96%

Galloway & West Dumfries 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Conservative Finlay Carson 13,294 ↑2223 41.84 % ↑4.93
SNP Aileen McLeod 📃 12,393 ↑2184 39.00 % ↑4.97
Labour Fiona O'Donnell 5,471 ↓2483 17.22 % ↓9.30
Liberal Democrat Andrew Metcalf 💸 616 ↓147 1.94 % ↓0.60
Conservative HOLD Majority: 901 Swing: ↓0.02%

Glasgow Anniesland 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bill Kidd 🛋 12,539 ↑2210 54.85 % ↑11.66
Labour Bill Butler 🎢 7,100 ↓3222 31.06 % ↓12.10
Conservative Adam Tomkins 🎢 2,415 ↑404 10.56 % ↑2.15
Liberal Democrat James Spiers 💸 807 ↓193 3.53 % ↓0.65
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,439 Swing: ↑11.88%

Glasgow Cathcart 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP James Dornan 🛋 14,468 ↑2550 57.03 % ↑11.58
Labour Soryia Siddique 7,103 ↓3223 28.00 % ↓11.38
Conservative Kyle Thornton 2,894 ↑484 11.41 % ↑2.22
Liberal Democrat Margot Clark 💸 903 ↓215 3.56 % ↓0.70
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,365 Swing: ↑11.48%

Glasgow Kelvin 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Sandra White 🛋 11,020 ↑1942 40.83 % ↑3.23
Green Patrick Harvie 📃 🎢 7,610 ↑3179 28.19 % ↑9.84
Labour Michael Shanks 5,279 ↓2396 19.56 % ↓12.23
Conservative Sheila Mechan 2,119 ↑354 7.85 % ↑0.54
Liberal Democrat Carole Ford 💸 964 ↓230 3.57 % ↓1.38
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,410 Swing: ↓3.30%

Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bob Doris 📃 10,430 ↑1838 53.85 % ↑12.00
Labour Patricia Ferguson 🛋 6,799 ↓3085 35.10 % ↓13.04
Conservative John Anderson 1,467 ↑245 7.58 % ↑1.63
Liberal Democrat James Harrison 💸 673 ↓160 3.47 % ↓0.59
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,631 Swing: ↑12.52%

Glasgow Pollok 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Humza Yousaf 📃 12,445 ↑2193 56.88 % ↑12.14
Labour Johann Lamont 🛋 🎢 7,480 ↓3395 34.19 % ↓13.27
Conservative Thomas Haddow 1,559 ↑261 7.12 % ↑1.46
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 💸 396 ↓94 1.81 % ↓0.33
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,965 Swing: ↑12.71%

Glasgow Provan 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ivan McKee 9,660 ↑1702 54.18 % ↑12.70
Labour Paul Martin 🛋 6,904 ↓3133 38.72 % ↓13.60
Conservative Annie Wells 933 ↑156 5.23 % ↑1.18
Liberal Democrat Thomas Coleman 💸 333 ↓80 1.87 % ↓0.28
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 2,756 Swing: ↑13.15%

Glasgow Shettleston 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Mason 🛋 12,295 ↑2167 59.81 % ↑12.05
Labour Thomas Rannachan 6,564 ↓2978 31.93 % ↓13.07
Conservative Thomas Kerr 1,397 ↑234 6.79 % ↑1.31
Liberal Democrat Giovanni Caccavello 💸 300 ↓71 1.46 % ↓0.29
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,731 Swing: ↑12.56%

Glasgow Southside 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 🛋 14,939 ↑2633 64.99 % ↑10.56
Labour Fariha Thomas 5,473 ↓2484 23.81 % ↓11.39
Conservative Graham Hutchison 2,081 ↑348 9.05 % ↑1.38
Liberal Democrat Kevin Lewsey 💸 494 ↓118 2.15 % ↓0.56
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,466 Swing: ↑10.98%

Greenock & Inverclyde 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Stuart McMillan 📃 14,417 ↑2541 53.57 % ↑11.47
Labour Siobhan McCready 8,521 ↓3866 31.66 % ↓12.25
Conservative Graeme Brooks 2,415 ↑404 8.97 % ↑1.84
Liberal Democrat John Watson 1,561 ↓373 5.80 % ↓1.06
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,896 Swing: ↑11.86%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 14,812 ↑2610 58.69 % ↑10.56
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 6,871 ↓3118 27.22 % ↓12.18
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,058 ↑511 12.12 % ↑2.07
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 497 ↓119 1.97 % ↓0.46
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,941 Swing: ↑11.37%

Inverness & Nairn 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fergus Ewing 🛋 20,479 ↑3609 62.10 % ↑10.56
Labour David Stewart 📃 4,901 ↓2224 14.86 % ↓6.91
Conservative Edward Mountain 🎢 4,559 ↑762 13.83 % ↑2.23
Liberal Democrat Carolyn Caddick 3,038 ↓725 9.21 % ↓2.29
SNP HOLD Majority: 15,578 Swing: ↑8.73%

Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Willie Coffey 🛋 20,593 ↑3629 63.15 % ↑9.90
Labour Dave Meechan 7,547 ↓3424 23.14 % ↓11.30
Conservative Brian Whittle 3,973 ↑664 12.19 % ↑1.80
Liberal Democrat Rebecca Plenderleith 💸 496 ↓118 1.52 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,046 Swing: ↑10.60%

Kirkcaldy 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP David Torrance 🛋 15,270 ↑2691 56.83 % ↑11.59
Labour Claire Baker 🎢 8,527 ↓3870 31.74 % ↓12.85
Conservative Martin Laidlaw 2,410 ↑403 8.97 % ↑1.75
Liberal Democrat Lauren Jones 💸 662 ↓158 2.46 % ↓0.49
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,743 Swing: ↑12.22%

Linlithgow 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 20,669 ↑3642 61.58 % ↑11.77
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 8,898 ↓4038 26.51 % ↓11.33
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,177 ↑531 9.47 % ↑1.73
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 819 ↓196 2.44 % ↓0.53
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,771 Swing: ↑11.55%

Mid Fife & Glenrothes 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jenny Gilruth 16,705 ↑2944 64.72 % ↑12.42
Labour Kay Morrison 6,585 ↓2988 25.51 % ↓10.87
Conservative Alex Stewart-Clark 2,013 ↑337 7.80 % ↑1.43
Liberal Democrat Jane-Ann Liston 💸 509 ↓121 1.97 % ↓0.42
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,120 Swing: ↑11.64%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 17,091 ↑3012 59.39 % ↑12.17
Labour Bernard Harkins 7,624 ↓3459 26.49 % ↓10.68
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,051 ↑510 10.60 % ↑2.08
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 1,012 ↓242 3.52 % ↓0.69
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,467 Swing: ↑11.43%

Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christine Grahame 🛋 16,819 ↑2964 52.27 % ↑8.76
Liberal Democrat Kris Chapman 7,210 ↓1721 22.41 % ↓5.64
Conservative Michelle Ballantyne 4,495 ↑752 13.97 % ↑2.21
Labour Fiona Dugdale 3,654 ↓1658 11.36 % ↓5.32
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,609 Swing: ↑7.20%

Moray 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lochhead 🛋 20,414 ↑3597 65.85 % ↑7.04
Conservative Douglas Ross 🎢 7,052 ↑1179 22.75 % ↑2.21
Labour Sean Morton 2,463 ↓1117 7.94 % ↓4.58
Liberal Democrat Jamie Paterson 💸 1,071 ↓256 3.46 % ↓1.18
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,362 Swing: ↑2.42%

Motherwell & Wishaw 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 12,292 ↑2166 55.72 % ↑14.31
Labour John Pentland 🛋 7,369 ↓3344 33.40 % ↓10.41
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,105 ↑352 9.54 % ↑2.37
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 296 ↓71 1.34 % ↓0.16
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,923 Swing: ↑12.36%

Na h-Eileanan an Iar 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alasdair Allan 🛋 10,313 ↑1817 75.09 % ↑9.79
Labour Rhoda Grant 📃 🎢 2,562 ↓1162 18.65 % ↓9.97
Conservative Ranald Fraser 💸 676 ↑113 4.92 % ↑0.59
Liberal Democrat Ken MacLeod 💸 184 ↓44 1.34 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,751 Swing: ↑9.88%

North East Fife 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rod Campbell 13,388 ↑2359 45.49 % ↑8.33
Liberal Democrat Willie Rennie 📃 🎢 6,811 ↓1626 23.14 % ↓5.29
Conservative Huw Bell 6,746 ↑1128 22.92 % ↑3.99
Labour Rosalind Garton 2,485 ↓1128 8.44 % ↓3.73
SNP HOLD Majority: 6,577 Swing: ↑6.81%

Orkney Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Donna Heddle 2,481 ↑437 41.56 % ↑16.49
Liberal Democrat Liam McArthur 🛋 2,351 ↓561 39.37 % ↑3.65
Conservative Jamie Halcro Johnston 824 ↑138 13.80 % ↑5.38
Labour Gerry McGarvey 315 ↓143 5.28 % ↓0.34
SNP GAIN from Liberal Democrat Majority: 130 Swing: ↑6.42%

Paisley 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP George Adam 🛋 13,248 ↑2335 53.63 % ↑10.98
Labour Neil Bibby 📃 🎢 7,336 ↓3329 29.70 % ↓11.98
Conservative Paul Masterton 2,677 ↑448 10.84 % ↑2.13
Liberal Democrat Eileen McCartin 1,439 ↓344 5.83 % ↓1.14
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,912 Swing: ↑11.48%

Perthshire North 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP John Swinney 🛋 22,116 ↑3897 64.36 % ↑3.53
Conservative Murdo Fraser 📃 🎢 9,445 ↑1579 27.49 % ↑1.23
Labour Anna McEwan 1,838 ↓834 5.35 % ↓3.57
Liberal Democrat Peter Barrett 💸 966 ↓230 2.81 % ↓1.18
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,671 Swing: ↑1.15%

Perthshire South & Kinross-shire 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Roseanna Cunningham 🛋 19,511 ↑3438 56.12 % ↑4.63
Conservative Liz Smith 🎢 10,695 ↑1788 30.77 % ↑2.24
Labour Scott Nicholson 2,738 ↓1242 7.87 % ↓4.88
Liberal Democrat Willie Robertson 1,821 ↓435 5.24 % ↓1.99
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,816 Swing: ↑1.19%

Renfrewshire North & West 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Derek Mackay 13,972 ↑2462 50.17 % ↑8.31
Labour Mary Fee 📃 🎢 6,841 ↓3105 24.57 % ↓11.60
Conservative David Wilson 6,591 ↑1102 23.67 % ↑3.71
Liberal Democrat Rod Ackland 💸 444 ↓106 1.59 % ↓0.41
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,131 Swing: ↑9.96%

Renfrewshire South 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Tom Arthur 12,571 ↑2215 49.23 % ↑10.74
Labour Paul O'Kane 8,896 ↓4037 34.84 % ↓13.22
Conservative Ann Leblond 3,503 ↑586 13.72 % ↑2.88
Liberal Democrat Tristan Gray 💸 567 ↓135 2.22 % ↓0.39
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,675 Swing: ↑11.98%

Rutherglen 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Haughey 13,001 ↑2291 51.89 % ↑12.37
Labour James Kelly 🛋 🎢 8,591 ↓3898 34.28 % ↓11.80
Conservative Taylor Muir 2,517 ↑421 10.04 % ↑2.31
Liberal Democrat Robert Brown 💸 948 ↓226 3.78 % ↓0.55
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,410 Swing: ↑12.09%

Shetland Islands 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Liberal Democrat Tavish Scott 🛋 3,602 ↓860 62.10 % ↑14.59
SNP Danus Skene 1,377 ↑243 23.73 % ↑11.65
Labour Robina Barton 426 ↓194 7.35 % ↑0.75
Conservative Cameron Smith 396 ↑66 6.83 % ↑3.32
Liberal Democrat HOLD Majority: 2,225 Swing: ↑1.47%

Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Kate Forbes 17,890 ↑3153 55.93 % ↑9.75
Liberal Democrat Angela MacLean 7,865 ↓1877 24.59 % ↓5.93
Conservative Robbie Munro 3,403 ↑569 10.64 % ↑1.76
Labour Linda Stewart 2,828 ↓1284 8.84 % ↓4.04
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,025 Swing: ↑7.84%

Stirling 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Bruce Crawford 🛋 18,036 ↑3178 58.30 % ↑9.43
Labour Rebecca Bell 6,320 ↓2868 20.43 % ↓9.79
Conservative Dean Lockhart 5,536 ↑926 17.89 % ↑2.73
Liberal Democrat Elisabeth Wilson 💸 1,046 ↓250 3.38 % ↓0.88
SNP HOLD Majority: 11,716 Swing: ↑9.61%

Strathkelvin & Bearsden 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Rona Mackay 17,308 ↑3050 51.97 % ↑9.73
Labour Margaret McCarthy 8,568 ↓3888 25.73 % ↓11.17
Conservative Andrew Polson 5,329 ↑891 16.00 % ↑2.85
Liberal Democrat Katy Gordon 2,099 ↓501 6.30 % ↓1.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,740 Swing: ↑10.45%

Uddingston & Bellshill 🔗

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 13,131 ↑2314 54.64 % ↑11.36
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 7,932 ↓3599 33.00 % ↓13.13
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,542 ↑425 10.58 % ↑2.11
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 428 ↓102 1.78 % ↓0.34
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,199 Swing: ↑12.25%