Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

BMG Research/Herald, 18th April 2016

These are our forecasts for all MSPs in the Central region at the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by BMG Research and published in the Herald on 18th April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑9.71
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓9.89
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑2.79
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓1.53
Others 1.08 %  % ↓1.08

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↑2.18
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓6.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑3.85
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑1
Green 4.37 %  % ↑3.13
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑2.79
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓6.23

Our forecast

Central: full results

SNP Labour Conservative Lib Dem Green UKIP RISE
Vote share 52.95 % 29.22 % 9.09 % 1.84 % 4.51 % 2.39 % 0.00 %
Constituency seats 9
Votes 113,620 62,713 19,499 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
1st divisor 10 1 1 1 1 1 1
1st allocation 11,362 62,713 19,499 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
2nd divisor 10 2 1 1 1 1 1
2nd allocation 11,362 31,357 19,499 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
3rd divisor 10 3 1 1 1 1 1
3rd allocation 11,362 20,904 19,499 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
4th divisor 10 4 1 1 1 1 1
4th allocation 11,362 15,678 19,499 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
5th divisor 10 4 2 1 1 1 1
5th allocation 11,362 15,678 9,750 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
6th divisor 10 5 2 1 1 1 1
6th allocation 11,362 12,543 9,750 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
7th divisor 10 6 2 1 1 1 1
7th allocation 11,362 10,452 9,750 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
8th divisor 11 6 2 1 1 1 1
8th allocation 10,329 10,452 9,750 3,958 9,677 5,129 0
Party Candidate
1 Labour Richard Leonard
2 Labour Monica Lennon
3 Labour Mark Griffin
4 Conservative Margaret Mitchell
5 Labour Elaine Smith
6 Labour Craig Martin
7 SNP Sophia Coyle

Constituencies in Central region

Airdrie & Shotts

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Alex Neil 🛋 14,548 ↑2564 61.85 % ↑11.70
Labour Richard Leonard 🎢 6,867 ↓3116 29.20 % ↓12.58
Conservative Eric Holford 1,676 ↑280 7.13 % ↑1.29
Liberal Democrat Louise Young 💸 429 ↓102 1.82 % ↓0.40
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,681 Swing: ↑12.14%

Coatbridge & Chryston

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fulton MacGregor 11,223 ↑1978 50.79 % ↑11.08
Labour Elaine Smith 🛋 🎢 8,205 ↓3723 37.13 % ↓14.11
Conservative Robyn Halbert 1,571 ↑263 7.11 % ↑1.49
Green John Wilson 💸 📃 852 ↑356 3.86 % ↑1.73
Liberal Democrat Jenni Lang 💸 244 ↓58 1.10 % ↓0.20
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 3,018 Swing: ↑12.59%

Cumbernauld & Kilsyth

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jamie Hepburn 🛋 16,503 ↑2908 65.60 % ↑11.77
Labour Mark Griffin 📃 🎢 6,972 ↓3164 27.71 % ↓12.43
Conservative Anthony Newman 1,388 ↑232 5.52 % ↑0.94
Liberal Democrat Irene Lang 💸 296 ↓71 1.18 % ↓0.27
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,531 Swing: ↑12.10%

East Kilbride

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Linda Fabiani 🛋 17,431 ↑3072 59.98 % ↑11.97
Labour LizAnne Handibode 8,536 ↓3874 29.38 % ↓12.11
Conservative Graham Simpson 2,714 ↑454 9.34 % ↑1.78
Liberal Democrat Paul McGarry 💸 378 ↓90 1.30 % ↓0.26
SNP HOLD Majority: 8,895 Swing: ↑12.04%

Falkirk East

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angus MacDonald 🛋 17,361 ↑3059 61.56 % ↑10.79
Labour Craig Martin 🎢 7,406 ↓3361 26.26 % ↓11.96
Conservative Callum Laidlaw 2,848 ↑476 10.10 % ↑1.68
Liberal Democrat Austin Reid 💸 587 ↓140 2.08 % ↓0.50
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,955 Swing: ↑11.38%

Falkirk West

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Michael Matheson 🛋 18,946 ↑3339 65.89 % ↑10.54
Labour Mandy Telford 6,784 ↓3078 23.59 % ↓11.38
Conservative Alison Harris 2,505 ↑419 8.71 % ↑1.31
Liberal Democrat Gillian Cole-Hamilton 💸 520 ↓124 1.81 % ↓0.47
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,162 Swing: ↑10.96%

Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Christina McKelvie 14,812 ↑2610 58.69 % ↑10.56
Labour Margaret McCulloch 📃 6,871 ↓3118 27.22 % ↓12.18
Conservative Margaret Mitchell 📃 🎢 3,058 ↑511 12.12 % ↑2.07
Liberal Democrat Eileen Baxendale 💸 497 ↓119 1.97 % ↓0.46
SNP HOLD Majority: 7,941 Swing: ↑11.37%

Motherwell & Wishaw

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Clare Adamson 12,292 ↑2166 55.72 % ↑14.31
Labour John Pentland 🛋 7,369 ↓3344 33.40 % ↓10.41
Conservative Megan Gallacher 2,105 ↑352 9.54 % ↑2.37
Liberal Democrat Yvonne Finlayson 💸 296 ↓71 1.34 % ↓0.16
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 4,923 Swing: ↑12.36%

Uddingston & Bellshill

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Richard Lyle 📃 13,131 ↑2314 54.64 % ↑11.36
Labour Michael McMahon 🛋 7,932 ↓3599 33.00 % ↓13.13
Conservative Andrew Morrison 2,542 ↑425 10.58 % ↑2.11
Liberal Democrat Kaitey Blair 💸 428 ↓102 1.78 % ↓0.34
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 5,199 Swing: ↑12.25%