Does Cutbot cut it?

Tell us which Cutbot services you’d like to try out and we’ll be back in touch to set up a free trial for you. We’ll also be happy to meet up or chat through how to get the most out of that trial account. Discounts are available for charities, small businesses, agencies, and the public sector.
Our online media monitoring scans more than 1.7 million articles a week for you from around the world, from newspapers, magazines and broadcaster websites to blogs and organisations.
Our public affairs monitoring currently covers the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament, with Whitehall, Westminster and the other devolved bodies coming soon.







stay informed

Cutbot Scottish Parliament Seat Forecaster

Survation/Daily Record, 22nd April 2016

These are our forecasts for all MSPs in the Lothian region at the 2016 Holyrood election, based on the poll conducted by Survation and published in the Daily Record on 22nd April.

There’s more information about how we make this work here.

Constituencies

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 45.39 %  % ↑7.61
Labour 31.69 %  % ↓13.69
Conservative 13.91 %  % ↑3.09
Liberal Democrat 7.93 %  % ↓0.93
Others 1.08 %  % ↑3.92

Regions

Party 2011 % Prediction % Change
SNP 44.02 %  % ↓1.02
Labour 26.30 %  % ↓9.3
Conservative 12.35 %  % ↑5.65
Liberal Democrat 5.20 %  % ↑1.8
Green 4.37 %  % ↑6.63
UKIP 0.91 %  % ↑3.09
RISE 0.42 %  % ↓0.42
Others 6.43 %  % ↓6.43

Our forecast

Lothian: full results

SNP Labour Conservative Lib Dem Green UKIP RISE
Vote share 37.99 % 15.99 % 16.86 % 7.36 % 18.99 % 2.80 % 0.00 %
Constituency seats 8 1
Votes 108,380 45,604 48,108 20,995 54,172 8,000 0
1st divisor 9 1 1 1 2 1 1
1st allocation 12,042 45,604 48,108 20,995 27,086 8,000 0
2nd divisor 9 1 2 1 2 1 1
2nd allocation 12,042 45,604 24,054 20,995 27,086 8,000 0
3rd divisor 9 2 2 1 2 1 1
3rd allocation 12,042 22,802 24,054 20,995 27,086 8,000 0
4th divisor 9 2 2 1 3 1 1
4th allocation 12,042 22,802 24,054 20,995 18,057 8,000 0
5th divisor 9 2 3 1 3 1 1
5th allocation 12,042 22,802 16,036 20,995 18,057 8,000 0
6th divisor 9 3 3 1 3 1 1
6th allocation 12,042 15,201 16,036 20,995 18,057 8,000 0
7th divisor 9 3 3 2 3 1 1
7th allocation 12,042 15,201 16,036 10,498 18,057 8,000 0
8th divisor 9 3 3 2 4 1 1
8th allocation 12,042 15,201 16,036 10,498 13,543 8,000 0
Party Candidate
1 Conservative Ruth Davidson
2 Labour Kezia Dugdale
3 Green Andy Wightman
4 Conservative Miles Briggs
5 Labour Neil Findlay
6 Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton
7 Green Lorna Slater

Constituencies in Lothian region

Almond Valley

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Angela Constance 🛋 19,505 ↑2801 67.89 % ↑13.55
Labour Neil Findlay 📃 🎢 6,340 ↓4822 22.07 % ↓14.24
Conservative Stephanie Smith 2,305 ↑419 8.02 % ↑1.88
Liberal Democrat Charles Dundas 💸 579 ↓77 2.02 % ↓0.11
SNP HOLD Majority: 13,165 Swing: ↑13.89%

Edinburgh Central

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
Green Alison Johnstone 📃 11,371 ↑6857 33.00 % ↑17.44
SNP Alison Dickie 9,212 ↑1323 26.73 % ↓0.46
Conservative Ruth Davidson 🎢 5,223 ↑950 15.16 % ↑0.43
Liberal Democrat Hannah Bettsworth 4,607 ↓610 13.37 % ↓4.61
Labour Sarah Boyack 📃 4,044 ↓3077 11.74 % ↓12.80
Green GAIN from SNP Majority: 2,159 Swing: ↑8.95%

Edinburgh Eastern

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ash Denham 16,992 ↑2440 60.07 % ↑12.71
Labour Kezia Dugdale 📃 🎢 6,997 ↓5322 24.73 % ↓15.36
Conservative Nick Cook 3,215 ↑585 11.36 % ↑2.80
Liberal Democrat Cos D'Inverno 💸 1,083 ↓144 3.83 % ↓0.16
SNP HOLD Majority: 9,995 Swing: ↑14.04%

Edinburgh Northern & Leith

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Ben Macpherson 14,319 ↑2056 51.68 % ↑11.97
Labour Lesley Hinds 7,303 ↓5555 26.36 % ↓15.27
Conservative Iain McGill 3,579 ↑651 12.92 % ↑3.44
Liberal Democrat Martin Veart 2,504 ↓332 9.04 % ↓0.14
SNP GAIN from Labour Majority: 7,016 Swing: ↑13.62%

Edinburgh Pentlands

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Gordon MacDonald 🛋 13,074 ↑1877 43.00 % ↑5.74
Conservative Gordon Lindhurst 11,538 ↑2099 37.95 % ↑6.54
Labour Blair Heary 4,540 ↓3453 14.93 % ↓11.67
Liberal Democrat Emma Farthing-Sykes 💸 1,254 ↓166 4.12 % ↓0.61
SNP HOLD Majority: 1,536 Swing: ↓0.40%

Edinburgh Southern

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Jim Eadie 🛋 11,615 ↑1668 36.42 % ↑6.99
Conservative Miles Briggs 🎢 7,698 ↑1400 24.14 % ↑5.50
Liberal Democrat Pramod Subbaraman 7,326 ↓971 22.97 % ↓1.58
Labour Daniel Johnston 5,256 ↓3998 16.48 % ↓10.90
SNP HOLD Majority: 3,917 Swing: ↑0.75%

Edinburgh Western

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Toni Giugliano 13,971 ↑2006 43.12 % ↑7.35
Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 🎢 8,191 ↓1085 25.28 % ↓2.45
Conservative Sandy Batho 6,169 ↑1122 19.04 % ↑3.95
Labour Cat Headley 4,069 ↓3095 12.56 % ↓8.86
SNP HOLD Majority: 5,780 Swing: ↑4.90%

Linlithgow

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Fiona Hyslop 🛋 19,882 ↑2855 63.40 % ↑13.59
Labour Angela Boyd Moohan 7,347 ↓5589 23.43 % ↓14.41
Conservative Charles Kennedy 3,234 ↑588 10.31 % ↑2.57
Liberal Democrat Dan Farthing-Sykes 💸 896 ↓119 2.86 % ↓0.11
SNP HOLD Majority: 12,535 Swing: ↑14.00%

Midlothian North & Musselburgh

Party Candidate Votes Change Share Change
SNP Colin Beattie 🛋 16,439 ↑2360 61.01 % ↑13.79
Labour Bernard Harkins 6,295 ↓4788 23.36 % ↓13.81
Conservative Jeremy Balfour 3,106 ↑565 11.53 % ↑3.01
Liberal Democrat Jacquie Bell 💸 1,107 ↓147 4.11 % ↓0.10
SNP HOLD Majority: 10,144 Swing: ↑13.80%